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Are the Orioles good, or just lucky?

Updated: September 20, 2012, 11:34 AM ET

We're not about to denigrate any of the Orioles' exceptional accomplishments this season, but all those extra-inning wins have us wondering. You can usually tell how good a team is by their run differential -- that is, the difference between their runs scored and runs allowed. The Orioles have made an art of outperforming their run differential -- they're at a .570 winning percentage despite having been outscored by 10 runs on the season. To put it in perspective, they're essentially ...

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