Category archive: Rice Owls

Slumpers drop out of regional projections

May, 11, 2009
05/11/09
11:41
AM ET
Not a lot of movement this week in my baseball regional projections, as most of the teams that were in either/or situations last week performed about the same as their closest competitors. Only the Southern Conference picked up a spot, as College of Charleston (riding a 10-game winning streak) moved into the field. That bid was at the expense of South Florida, on the assumption that a streaking Louisville would win the Big East's lone bid. Loyola Marymount, which has secured a spot in the WCC championship series against Gonzaga, moved into the field in place of slumping San Diego.

National Seeds

Not a great week for the top SEC teams, and the top teams on the West Coast are all red-hot. This will likely change before Selection Monday, but for now there are three national seeds from out West and just one from the SEC, with Ole Miss and Florida knocking on the door if any of the others stumble down the stretch. Since the selection committee can't match those teams from the Pac-10 and Big West up in the super regionals, they'll likely put all three in the same side of the bracket in Omaha.

National seeds: No. 1 Texas, No. 2 North Carolina, No. 3 UC Irvine, No. 4 LSU, No. 5 Rice, No. 6 Arizona State, No. 7 Cal State Fullerton and No. 8 Georgia Tech.

The Rest of the Top 16

The second tier of regional hosts is pretty well set at this point. Miami and Georgia are both struggling and, in addition to needing to be nearly perfect down the stretch, need others to falter to get back into the discussion. The two teams closest to hosting right now that aren't in the top 16 are a surging Alabama (second in the SEC) and Oklahoma (which could pass Texas A&M in this discussion with a strong showing in their upcoming series).

There's a new name under discussion for a hosting spot from the "northern" part of the country -- on the heels of beating Ohio State twice in the past week, Louisville staked its claim for a home regional. The Cardinals hosted a Super Regional in 2007 and drew more than 12,000 fans for the three-game set against Oklahoma State. TCU once again falls victim to the committee's desire for geographical balance (and the strength of Texas baseball this year) and gets sent packing as a No. 1 seed.

The other eight hosts (in alphabetical order): Arkansas, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Louisville, Ole Miss, Texas A&M and Virginia.

And Everyone Else

Oklahoma State is all but out of the Big 12 tournament, while Auburn has been eliminated from contention for the SEC tournament (and Kentucky needs some help). With enough strong teams in the mid-major conferences, that should be enough to knock these three off the bubble despite their strong RPI rankings. All eight teams that make the SEC tournament will be in the NCAA field, while Duke and Texas Tech will be the only teams to make their conference tournament and miss the regionals from the ACC and Big 12.

The Southern Conference gets a fourth team again with all of the top contenders playing well down the stretch. The Big Ten stays at three teams (with Illinois on the bubble), while Conference USA (two bids) and the Pac-10 (three bids) remain well below their historical norm.

Two teams that have appeared in every projection up to this point fell out due to recent struggles. San Diego will not be in the WCC championship series, so Loyola Marymount jumped over it and into the field. Hawaii has also played poorly recently -- the Rainbows host the WAC tournament, but for now that bid will go to first-place San Jose State.

Last Nine In (least secure first): Loyola Marymount, Baylor, Western Carolina, Washington State, Illinois, Dallas Baptist, Southeastern Louisiana, College of Charleston and Kansas.

First Nine Out (best chance first): Kentucky, Hawaii, Duke, BYU, San Diego, Troy, New Mexico, Oklahoma State and UC Santa Barbara.

The Field of 64

National seed regionals are shown next to the regional that they match up with for super regionals:

Austin Regional
No. 1 Texas
Oregon State
Dallas Baptist
Sacred Heart
Fayetteville Regional
Arkansas
Oklahoma
Boston College
Oral Roberts
Atlanta Regional
No. 8 Georgia Tech
Georgia
Western Carolina
Manhattan
Gainesville Regional
Florida
Miami
College of Charleston
Bethune-Cookman
Baton Rouge Regional
No. 4 LSU
Missouri
Southeastern Louisiana
Southern
Tallahassee Regional
Florida State
Alabama
Illinois
Jacksonville
Houston Regional
No. 5 Rice
Texas State
Baylor
Dartmouth
College Station Regional
Texas A&M
Minnesota
Washington State
Eastern Illinois
Irvine Regional
No. 3 UC Irvine
Ohio State
San Diego State
San Jose State
Charlottesville Regional
Virginia
East Carolina
Gonzaga
George Mason
Tempe Regional
No. 6 Arizona State
Cal Poly
Kansas
Illinois-Chicago
Clemson Regional
Clemson
Coastal Carolina
South Carolina
Binghamton
Chapel Hill Regional
No. 2 North Carolina
Elon
Vanderbilt
Indiana State
Louisville Regional
TCU
Louisville
Western Kentucky
Dayton
Fullerton Regional
No. 7 Cal State Fullerton
Kansas State
Loyola Marymount
Army
Oxford Regional
Ole Miss
Georgia Southern
Middle Tennessee
Kent State

Thursday tidbits: Records all around

March, 12, 2009
03/12/09
5:36
PM ET
ESPN's Statistics and Analysis team compiled quick notes about some of Thursday's college sports action from various schools' sports information departments.

Softball

Pacific versus Nebraska, 8:30 p.m.
Five runs against Pacific on Thursday would give Nebraska its 100th run of the season and a new school record. If the Cornhuskers score five runs, they will have scored 100 runs in a season by their 16th game, faster than any softball squad in school history. The 1978 and 2006 teams each hit the 100-run mark in the 17th game. Nebraska also could break another school record. The Huskers have scored at least eight runs in their past four games to tie the program's longest streak of games with at least eight runs. Scoring eight runs against Pacific would give them a record-setting five straight games.

Women's lacrosse

Hofstra at No. 1 Northwestern, 7 p.m.
Northwestern seeks its 45th consecutive win at home when it plays Hofstra on Thursday. The Wildcats' 44 consecutive home wins surpassed Maryland's home winning streak from 1997 to 2001 (41 games). Nine of the games in Northwestern's streak were NCAA tournament games, and the last time the Wildcats lost on home turf was a 10-9 overtime loss to Vanderbilt on May 6, 2004.

Baseball

San Diego at No. 10 Rice, 7:30 p.m.
Rice coach Wayne Graham looks to earn his 796th victory when the Owls face San Diego. Graham is 795-303 at Rice with a school-record .724 winning percentage -- the equivalent of a major league ballclub's winning 117 games in one season.