Predicting the standings pure folly

Predicting how teams will finish in the standings not just in 2004, but for the next five years is totally absurd.

Originally Published: February 11, 2004
By Rob Neyer | ESPN.com

No, pitchers and catchers haven't reported to spring training yet. But another harbinger of spring is here: the 2004 baseball-preview magazines are on the newsstands. Every February, I pick up at least one of these -- The Sporting News, or Street & Smith's -- just to help me get in the mood, just like I start listening to my favorite Christmas music in early December.

I spotted the new Street & Smith's in the grocery store on Tuesday, and I brought it home with me. The 2004 edition of this ...

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