Predicting the top 10 for stolen bases

Updated: April 4, 2008, 4:09 PM ET
By Eric Karabell
I can't say I'm surprised by anything Carlos Gomez or Michael Bourn did in their first few games with new teams. They are fast. They will get on base occasionally. They will run. None of this is breaking news. When it came to their place in pre-season fantasy drafts, Bourn was being selected earlier than Gomez, but a little too high, even though I think fantasy owners were well aware of what they were potentially getting.

The thing is, of all the one-dimensional stolen base guys in drafts, and there are plenty of them, Juan Pierre is the one who went first. We've seen over the past week that this situation is unlikely to turn out well for Pierre or his owners, unless they're pleased with a huge decrease in playing time and maybe, if they're lucky, half the steals normally projected for him.