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Grand Theft Roto: Using on-base to determine value

Updated: April 19, 2009, 12:55 PM ET
By Shawn Peters | Special to ESPN.com

Every year, I write a column two weeks into the season, and every year, I try to find a new way to say that this is the most dangerous time to be trading. There are enough stats now that they feel indicative, even though they aren't. People are ready to abandon their preseason assumptions, which can be a good or bad thing. And then there are the standings, which couldn't mean less right now.

I've tried extended metaphors, cigarette-label-style warnings, and even a complex rebus … ...

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