Draft's true intrigue starts at No. 5

Updated: June 2, 2010, 1:57 AM ET
By David Thorpe

As we roll into the first big week of the NBA draft season, teams are busy creating their own mock drafts, which can look just like the ones we all read online. It's a difficult puzzle that's made only slightly easier once we learn the exact draft order Tuesday night. In most years, the draft breaks down into tiers, in which the order of who gets selected can change, but the groupings of those players become obvious. This year is no exception.

There is some question as to who will go No. 2, No. 3 and No. 4, but almost every team's mock reads "Wall, Turner, Favors, Cousins," with the latter two on that list both in the running for the second pick, and Turner having a small chance at the top spot. Within a few weeks, that mystery probably will get solved. The real question, which won't get answered probably until we see the draft show, is what happens after that. To this point, no player jumps out as the clear fifth-best guy. That's why I think this draft process really begins at No. 5.