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Spain's hopes take a huge hit

Updated: June 17, 2010, 2:05 PM ET
By Nate Silver | Special to ESPN.com

With all 32 sides now having played at least one match, we're due for a quick overview of the World Cup circuit. The results you see below are based on slightly more than 10,000 simulations using the SPI match predictor given the results of the tournament through the first round of group stage games (plus the Uruguay-South Africa match):

GROUP A This group cheated by playing one additional match before anybody else. And it was a critical one, with Uruguay defeating South ...

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