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Jimmie Johnson will win by a hair

Updated: November 16, 2010, 2:25 PM ET
By David Newton | ESPN.com

AVONDALE, Ariz. -- No driver has lost the Chase lead with two races remaining since the playoff format was implemented in 2004. No driver has lost the points lead, period, with two races remaining since Bill Elliott lost to Alan Kulwicki in 1992.

Yada, yada, yada.

Statistics say Denny Hamlin is a lock to capture his first Sprint Cup title with two races remaining at Phoenix and Homestead-Miami Speedway. Statistics say this is true even though there have been two Chases ...

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