WR wrap: Can Brandon Lloyd repeat?

Updated: January 28, 2011, 3:13 PM ET
By Eric Karabell
Enjoy the fact that Denver Broncos wide receiver Brandon Lloyd, a free-agent pickup in most leagues, ended up leading all fantasy wide receivers in scoring in 2010, but don't take the shock of that too far by overrating him in your 2011 rankings. Lloyd was originally drafted in the fourth round in 2003, he had caught passes for four NFL teams in the seven seasons leading up to 2010, and his name was surely mentioned on the ESPN Fantasy pages in his San Francisco 49ers years. People did know who he was. They just didn't know what he was capable of.

For a player to go from eight catches to 77, from 117 receiving yards to 1,448 and, well, 15 touchdowns in seven seasons to 11 in one glorious campaign is obviously surprising, but don't expect a repeat in 2011. Not only shouldn't we look for the next Lloyd to "come from nowhere," but even for this Lloyd to do it again. Oh sure, Lloyd is capable of monster numbers again in 2011, just like many others in the NFL yearning for the right combination of opportunity and timing. Lloyd can still thrive with Tim Tebow at quarterback, just as he dominated with Kyle Orton, who is more of a pocket passer. But fantasy owners are better off relying on more stable choices, including many of those who finished just behind Lloyd in the WR top-10.