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Spurs' away form could be their undoing

Updated: February 15, 2011, 11:02 AM ET
By Jacob Nitzberg, ESPN Stats & Information

With the Champions League knockout round beginning today, let's determine each team's chances in the first leg. Using ESPN's Soccer Power Index (SPI) -- a predictive algorithm designed to forecast future soccer events -- we calculated the offensive, defensive and overall rating of each team and used those to simulate each matchup 10,000 times. A team's SPI rating projects by how many goals a club is expected to defeat (or lose to) an average opponent from the top four leagues on a neutral field. ...

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