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Defense is key for Real Madrid

Updated: February 22, 2011, 1:41 PM ET
By Jacob Nitzberg, ESPN Stats & Information

With the Champions League knockout round continuing today, let's determine each team's chances in the first leg. Using ESPN's Soccer Power Index -- a predictive algorithm designed to forecast future soccer events -- we calculated the offensive, defensive and overall rating of each team and used those to find the individual match predictions. A team's SPI rating is easily described as the number of goals a club is expected to defeat (or lose to) an average big four opponent by on a neutral field. ...

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