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Signs point to success for Matt Garza

Updated: April 27, 2011, 1:38 PM ET
By Tristan H. Cockcroft | ESPN.com

Things change, and that doesn't mean simply the numbers.

Oh, sure, many numbers themselves have changed since last season. For instance, A.J. Burnett, who had the third-worst qualified ERA (5.26) in 2010, has a palatable 3-1 record and 3.52 ERA so far this year. Meanwhile, R.A. Dickey, whose 2.84 ERA ranked 10th last season, has a 4.10 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in five games in 2011.

It happens. "Small sample size," "regression to the mean," "luck" or whatever casual rationale ...

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