Gonzalez leads stars who were doubted
Snap judgments on draft picks sometimes miss rising stars
Like everyone else who loves the draft, I had a lot of fun Monday. Between baseballprospectus.com and ESPN.com, I chatted for nearly eight hours, pushed out hundreds of tweets and lost count of the radio appearances by mid-afternoon. At the same time, I judged. I said this pick was great or that pick was bad, and as an analyst in the field of scouting and player development, that's what I'm paid to do. Still, properly judging a draft pick can often take years, so here are 10 recent examples of when the industry rushed to judgment far too soon on a first-round pick:
Adrian Gonzalez, Florida Marlins, 2000 (No. 1 overall)
The 2000 draft remains one of the worst in recent memory, as only five of the first 10 picks even reached the majors. While Gonzalez was seen by some as the best high school hitter in the draft, his status as a first base-only type among an impressive group of college arms had few seeing him as worthy of the top pick. He only ended up going first because he agreed to a $3 million deal before Florida made its selection, but 11 years later, his 180 home runs top all picks from that June.
Joe Mauer, Minnesota Twins, 2001 (No. 1 overall)
For more on Joe Mauer, plus a famous son and a freak who were also questioned on draft day, you must be an ESPN Insider.
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2011 MLB Draft Content
The Pittsburgh Pirates kicked off the 2011 MLB Draft by taking UCLA SP Gerrit Cole. Insider's Keith Law leads the coverage from Cole through the first round and beyond.
2011 MLB Draft6/7: Churchill: Analyzing Rounds 6-25
6/7: Law's Best of Day 2: American | National
6/7: Churchill: Analyzing Rounds 3-5
6/7: Churchill: Highlights of the second round
6/6: Law: Best and worst of Day 1
6/6: Churchill: Sandwich round analysis
6/6: Law/Churchill: First round analysis
MLB Draft Essentials6/6: Final mock: Nats add more star power
6/4: Law's Top 100: Setting up the draft
6/3: Mock 3.0: Starling on the rise
6/3: Churchill: Best tools in the draft
6/1: Sackmann: Statistical red flags
5/30: Mock 2.0: Gerrit Cole to Pirates
5/28: Churchill: 2010 NL Draft in review
5/27: Churchill: 2010 AL Draft in review
5/17: First full mock: Hultzen goes No. 1
5/12: Top 100: Movement in top 10
5/12: Cole goes first in modified mock draft
4/29: Future Fifty 3.0: Purke falls out
3/22: Future Fifty 2.0: Cole takes the top spot
3/22: Law: The Draft is not a crapshoot
2/17: Future Fifty: Rendon tops season's first ranking
2/17: Draft Order: How the teams will pick in the first and supplemental round