Bold predictions for 2012: pitchers version
1. St. Louis Cardinals: This one seems a bit too easy and not so bold, but Adam Wainwright will return from Tommy John surgery and win 18 games, with an ERA around 3.00. In other words, he'll come back strong. But guess who led the Cardinals pitchers on the Player Rater this past season? It wasn't Chris Carpenter or Jason Motte. It was Fernando Salas, who neither started nor ended the season as closer, but in between saved 24 games with terrific peripherals. In 2012, I could see Motte saving 30 games with good peripherals and leading the Player Rater (among Cardinals pitchers) in the process, but I'd still prefer to have Wainwright, especially if he can be had after the top 20 or so starters, which he should. By the way, I don't want Jaime Garcia in 2012. I say his ERA tops 4.00 and there's an injury pending. Just a negative hunch I have about him.
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