The most likely teams to pull upsets

Updated: March 5, 2012, 9:35 PM ET
By Peter Keating

We have briefed you on our forensic methods, and we have whetted your appetite for the blood of Goliaths. Now it's time to break out the spreadsheets and see which teams actually rate as the likeliest Davids in this year's NCAA field.

Here are the top 10 potential Giant Killers, rated on a scale from 0 to 100 by our 2012 statistical model. These are the highest scores among all eligible teams, whether they are already in the NCAA tournament, working their way through conference championships or awaiting word about their bids. We will get to actual head-to-head odds once we know tournament seedings. Also, this is a lot more detail than we're going to go into for Giants. You probably know a thing or seven about Syracuse and Kentucky already. This is your chance to keep diving into what could make less famous teams Killer material -- and to figure out which schools to root for in the week leading up to Selection Sunday.