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The 10 most likely early upsets

Updated: March 12, 2012, 2:27 PM ET
By Peter Keating and Jordan Brenner

Now that the NCAA tournament selection committee has spoken, it's our turn for a pronouncement: If you like big upsets, the kind we specialize in predicting here at GK Central, 2012 is going to be a whole lot more fun than 2011. Our model predicts a total of 3.4 upsets in the first and second rounds in this year's tournament, up from 2.2 last year.

If you're new to the blog, the definition and methodology for Giant Killers are conveniently located here. Take a look because it will help you understand and digest our early predictions.

In stark contrast to last season, nearly every mid-major and small conference is sending its best Giant-Killing prospect to the big dance. And it's not just teams with automatic bids that are attending the assassins' ball. Mid-majors earned 11 at-large bids Sunday, up from six last season. So even though Creighton, St. Louis, St. Mary's and Southern Mississippi landed in the middle of their brackets instead of in GK contests, and Murray State and Wichita State got seeded so high that they're Giants, not Killers, there's still plenty of potential for slayage. To prime you for deeper regional breakdowns on Monday and Tuesday, here's an early look at the top 10 most likely upsets for the 2012 tournament.

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