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The Champions League's second leg

Updated: March 13, 2012, 12:48 PM ET
By Jacob Nitzberg, ESPN Stats & Information

The second leg of the Champions League knockout round continues Tuesday, so let's take a look at each team's chances of advancing to the quarterfinals. Using ESPN's Soccer Power Index (SPI) we calculated the offensive, defensive and overall rating of each team and used those to simulate each matchup 10,000 times. Here's a look at the four matches this week.

Bayern Munich vs. FC Basel (Basel leads 1-0)

Projections for advancing: Bayern Munich 57.3 pct.; Basel 42.7 pct.

Despite ...

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