Riskiest early-round draft picks
Then there's Boston Red Sox outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury. While he's not a top-10 overall pick -- not like last year! -- he's still highly regarded enough to be a top-50 option, and thus someone I'd call a rather substantial risk in the early rounds. Not only can we hardly be assured he'll play most of the games -- he missed most of 2010 and half of last season -- but he delivered subpar stats in the 2012 games he did participate in. Oh sure, his 2011 season was extraordinary and surprising, certainly in terms of power output and perhaps for the 158 games played as well. Bottom line: If you want risk and even the proverbial risk-versus-reward option, this is it.
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