Can Harvard win another one?

Updated: March 22, 2013, 2:16 PM ET
By Jordan Brenner

"Not completely crazy." That's how we labeled Harvard's chances of upsetting New Mexico on Thursday night. Well, try telling that to this guy. What a wild night it was for the Crimson, as they shocked the Lobos 68-62.

The way it went down, though, wasn't particularly surprising. In assigning the Crimson a 21.4 percent chance of winning, our model alerted us to one key area: 3-point shooting. Coming into the game, New Mexico allowed its opponents to score 37.2 percent of their points from 3-point range. That was second-worst in the country, behind mighty Chattanooga. And Harvard appeared to have the chops to exploit the flaw: The Crimson were shooting 40.1 percent from deep.