Commentary

Conference-by-conference bid watch

Updated: March 9, 2012, 10:45 AM ET
By Dick Vitale | ESPN.com

The VBDI (Vitale Bald Dome Index) is working overtime this weekend, baby!

Breaking down the field of 68 is not easy. There is a lot of speculation. Washington did not help itself with a loss to Oregon State in the Pac-12 quarterfinals. Arizona and California moved on. Then Oregon lost to Colorado and probably burst that bubble. How many teams will that league get in?

I have tried to sort things out, by conference.

According to the VBDI, I can make believe it is election night and put up a map. I project 58 in, with a battle for 10 spots (as of Friday morning).

For the last 10 slots, I have Saint Louis, Xavier, Drexel, Southern Mississippi, Colorado State, Mississippi State, Washington, Tennessee and BYU likely in. That leaves one slot up for grabs between the likes of NC State, Miami, Seton Hall. It also leaves room for an upset in a power-conference tournament.

Northwestern is out following the loss to Minnesota in the Big Ten tournament.

A lot can still change. Miami and NC State can help themselves with wins in the ACC quarterfinals. If they both prevail, someone else on the bubble would fall ... stay tuned!

This is based on what I believe the committee will do. Personally, I would reward more of the mid-majors like Iona for great play during the regular season.

We will find out on Sunday how this all plays out. The committee may see things a little differently, like with VCU last season.

Dick Vitale

College Basketball analyst
Dick Vitale, college basketball's top analyst and ambassador, joined ESPN during the 1979-80 season. His thorough knowledge of the game is brought forth in an enthusiastic, passionate style. Vitale also contributes columns to ESPN.com.