Commentary

LSU-Alabama rematch isn't BCS chaos

Originally Published: November 23, 2011
By Sarah Phillips | Special to Page 2

LSU-AlabamaMarvin Gentry/US PresswireLSU and Alabama were cemented as the top two teams in the nation after a trio of upsets last week.

Fans across the nation erupted into speculation of possible BCS chaos following the upset losses of Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Oregon last weekend.

But BCS proponents aren't panicking.

As long as Alabama beats Auburn and LSU beats Arkansas and Georgia, BCS chaos will be averted with an LSU-Alabama rematch in the BCS title game. If you disagree, consider this before you go blaming those pesky computers: LSU and Bama aren't just the two top teams in the BCS standings; they also hold the top two spots in the human polls as well.

Several big favorites got clobbered last weekend, but Alabama and LSU will look to hold serve with the odds on their side this week. LSU is 4-1 against the spread in its past five games as a double-digit favorite, and Alabama is 6-1 in its past seven games as a double-digit favorite on the road.

If the trends hold true, LSU will move one step closer to playing for the BCS national championship.

And radio host Paul Finebaum will be hearing strictly from Crimson Tide fans for a few weeks.

 

No. 3 Arkansas at No. 1 LSU, Friday, 2:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Pick: LSU (-12)


 

No. 2 Alabama at No. 24 Auburn, Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Pick: Alabama (-21)



This week's NFL picks

 

Packers at Lions, Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET, Fox
Some pundits think it's bold to predict when the Packers will lose their first game. I'm not one of them. What Aaron Rodgers has been doing on the football field this season can't even be replicated on Madden '12. Trust me; I've tried. That being said, the Lions knocked Rodgers out of the game and beat the Packers last season. In fact, Detroit is the last team to beat Green Bay. So the Packers probably won't be looking past the Lions. Still, Detroit is 4-1 against the spread in its past five games as a home underdog of 3½ to 10 points.
Pick: Lions (+6)


 

49ers at Ravens, Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network
As Jim and John Harbaugh prepared their teams for this week's matchup, both showed an extreme amount of patience with the media -- although expletives are probably exploding in their heads. These two guys are tightly wound up, and you know each of them is dying to claim family bragging rights with a win on Thursday. Not only do the Harbaughs hate losing, they hate scoring, too. The Ravens are known for defense, but the 49ers have emerged as an elite defense this season. The under is 4-1 in the 49ers' past five games overall.
Pick: Under 39½


 

Giants at Saints, Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
The Giants took a large step backward by losing to the short-handed Eagles last week. But this seems to be the pattern of Eli Manning's career: be prepared to expect greatness or failure in any given game. A loss to the Eagles was the beginning of the end for the Giants' 2010 season. Will history repeat itself? New York is 1-5-1 against the spread against teams with winning records, and facing the Saints is no easy task. Sorry Giants fans, but brace yourselves for the Manning Face on "Monday Night Football."
Pick: Saints (-7)



Last week's picks: 2-4
Season record: 53-40-2 (56.9 percent)


You can follow Sarah Phillips on Twitter @SarahPhilli.


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