Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Updated: November 12, 8:45 AM ET
Patriots-Colts by the numbers
ESPN Stats and Information
• New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady was overwhelmed by overload pressures early in the season. However, when four or more pass rushers came from one side of center Sunday against the Miami Dolphins, Brady wasn't phased.
• Between the 2004 and 2007 seasons, Brady and Peyton Manning faced each other four times during the regular season and twice in the playoffs. Three of the four regular-season meetings were decided by seven points or less and the total score of all six games favors Indianapolis by just six. Needless to say, this game may come down to the wire and both quarterbacks have been excellent when it matters.
• Manning and Brady rank first and second, respectively, in pass attempts out of shotgun formations this season. Don't expect to see these quarterbacks under center very often Sunday night.
• Brady has attempted the third most passes against added pressure (five-plus pass rushers) in 2009. Manning ranks third in the NFL in total pass attempts but has seen added pressure less than 14 other quarterbacks. Many teams rely on their front four when facing the Indianapolis Colts, but the numbers show they may be better off sending pressure rather than dropping seven into pass coverage.
• Reggie Wayne has not caught a touchdown pass this season when the defense sends five or more pass rushers. Randy Moss has four touchdowns in such situations. Both wide receivers are major threats down the field regardless of the pressure type.
• Indianapolis and New England like to spread the field with three wide receiver sets. The Colts have attempted 84.1 percent of their passes with zebra personnel on the field while the Patriots are at 61.4 percent on the season. We should see a lot of small substitution packages Sunday, which may be trouble for Manning and Brady.