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|Clay Buchholz had 1 earned run and 6 strikeouts in 7 innings of the 5-1 Red Sox win Wednesday.|
If Yankees go 11-5, they clinch a playoff spot, regardless of what the Sox do.So, even if the Yankees lost all six games they have left with the Red Sox, if they split their remaining 10 games against other opponents, the Sox would have to go 11-5 just to tie (which would include those 6 wins over New York). According to Baseball Prospectus, the Red Sox have about a 3.7 percent chance of making the playoffs. Coolstandings.com gives them a 2.9 percent chance. So, hold off on those October plans for now. Gordon Edes covers the Red Sox for ESPNBoston.com. Follow him on Twitter.
If Yankees go 10-6, Sox must go 16-0 to tie.
If Yankees go 9-7, Sox must go 15-1 to tie.
If Yankees go 8-8, Sox must go 14-2 to tie.
If Yankees go 7-9, Sox must go 13-3 to tie.
If Yankees go 6-10, Sox must go 12-4 to tie.
If Yankees go 5-11, Sox must go 11-5 to tie.
If Yankees go 4-12, Sox must go 10-6 to tie.