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Saturday, November 10, 2012
Updated: December 5, 12:36 AM ET
ASP releases world title scenarios

By Jake Howard
ESPN.com

Kelly Slater
Kelly Slater was on the edge of his seat as he watched Joel Parkinson come up short in the quarters of the Cold Water Classic.

Santa Cruz was weird. Of the four world title contenders going into the Cold Water Classic only Joel Parkinson made the quarters. Kelly Slater was out of sorts in all sorts of ways, and Mick Fanning and John Florence didn't even graduate from round two. That's what you call anticlimactic.

Yesterday afternoon while the drum circle pounded, the hippies shook and Matty Wilkinson was wearing flowers in his hair, tour manager Renato Hickle, media director Dave Prodan and a few other ASPers crunched the numbers, scrutinizing over all of the various world title scenarios. Turns out, Florence is out of the race, so now it's down to a Floridian and two Coolie kids. Going into the final event of 2012, the Billabong Pipeline Masters, the ASP defines the race as follows:

If Parkinson finishes 13th, 9th or 5th at the Billabong Pipe Masters:
- Slater needs a 5th or higher to take the 2012 ASP World Title.
- Fanning needs to win at Pipeline to take the 2012 ASP World Title.*
*Contingent upon Slater finishing 5th or Lower at Pipeline.

If Parkinson finishes Equal 3rd at the Billabong Pipe Masters:
- Slater needs a 3rd or higher to take the 2012 ASP World Title.
- Fanning needs to win at Pipeline to take the 2012 ASP World Title.*
*Contingent upon Slater finishing 5th or Lower at Pipeline.

If Parkinson finishes 2nd at the Billabong Pipe Masters:
- Slater needs to win at Pipeline to take the 2012 ASP World Title.
- Fanning cannot win the 2012 ASP World Title.
If Parkinson wins the Billabong Pipe Masters, he will take the 2012 ASP World Title.