Thursday, June 6, 2013
Updated: June 7, 10:27 AM ET
Hot List: Belmont Stakes
By Shawn Rychling, Hot List Staff
This Weekend's Race
145th Running of the Belmont Stakes, Belmont Park
The top 3-year-olds move on to New York for the Belmont Stakes with the only certainty being that the Triple-Crown drought has reached 35 years. Derby winner Orb and Preakness victor Oxbow are on hand to try and settle the score along with a few fresh faces and a couple top finishers from Kentucky.
After much thought on the Preakness we've concluded that Orb was a victim of poor racing luck getting trapped on the rail where he didn't want to be. Factor in the slow pace and it wasn't his day. Look for him to rebound on his home track by getting good position in the 2-path breaking from post 5 setting him up for his usual late rally. The 3-1 morning line might even be an overlay. A surface less than fast is bound to help him as well. Freedom Child is a new face, earning a spot after a 13-length romp in the Peter Pan over a sloppy Belmont track. Just may break for the front and looks like he can rate well enough to hang on and hit the board. Like Orb, he's by Malibu Moon so stamina should not be an issue. Oxbow appears to be one of those 'need-the-lead' type horses in order to be a winner. He is likely to be denied the easy beginning he had in the Preakness by Freedom Child and others and that will hurt his chances. Golden Soul and Revolutionary should be used extensively on the bottom of your exotic tickets, but both are hard-pressed to catch the leaders when they have to close from so far back in the field.
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Hot List Key
A List: A preferred horse to watch
B List: Secondary horse to watch
*C List: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D List: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
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Shawn Rychling grew up around harness racing before a trip to Saratoga Race Course for the Travers Stakes hooked him on the Thoroughbreds. So began a 22-year tradition of attending the Midsummer Derby and soaking in all that Saratoga has to offer. Shawn works with Bob Ehalt on the daily compilation of the Hot List.