Trade deadline fallout
Jordan Crawford's value likely rises, J.J. Redick due for fall
As the only Wizards fan I know, I spend a lot of time trying to rationalize the machinations of Ernie Grunfeld. But I can't think of the existential conditions that would justify this deal on any conceivable level of basketball sense, fantasy or reality.
The Wizards gave away a young and cheap (albeit disgruntled) source of instant offense (and bad defense) for a couple million dollars of cap relief. It reeks of old-school bad Bullets trades, in which promising young players were dealt for emotional reasons rather than basketball ones (i.e., Chris Webber for Mitch Richmond).
This is the thing about Jordan Crawford; he's not Nick Young. And I think a lot of people sort of lumped Crawford in with Young because he filled Young's old role. Crawford can actually play point guard in stretches, as evidenced by his competent run filling in for John Wall back in December.
The Celtics obviously need point guard help, even if it comes in the form of another combo guard such as Crawford. When called upon to start, Crawford can sustain 20-point production. He just won't be called on to do that in Boston.
No, Crawford most likely will get about 18 to 24 minutes, competing with Jason Terry for minutes at both guard positions. My guess is he will end up playing more at the 2 (where his defensive liabilities will be better disguised) and averaging nine to 11 points per game. He'll throw in 1 to 1.5 3-pointers, a couple of assists and half a steal.
The Wizards' rotation will be totally unaffected. Leandro Barbosa is out for the season with a torn ACL. Jason Collins will be in line for, at most, five to 10 minutes of mop-up duty per game.
Redick's value instantly diminishes in Milwaukee. He essentially goes from playing the Monta Ellis role for the Magic to backing up Monta Ellis for the Bucks.
Both Ellis and Brandon Jennings have averaged around 40 minutes per game this month. There are only 96 backcourt minutes to be had in an NBA game, and Udrih was struggling to log 20 minutes per night.
I'm aware Redick was brought in to play more minutes than Udrih. I think Redick will start with around 23-25 minutes a night, which should be good enough to keep him on the fantasy radar, probably in the 12 points per game range. Then we'll have to wait and see whether his role expands.
In the short term, Redick still should be good for 1.5 to 2 3-pointers per game, so he's worth hanging on to in medium-to-deep leagues. I'll be interested to see how the move affects Redick's assists output, which had become an underrated aspect of his fantasy portfolio. If Redick backs up at both positions -- Jennings is the only pure point guard on the roster -- he still could rack up some nice assists numbers.
I've always been a big Udrih fan, and he might get an opportunity to play his way back onto the fantasy radar in Orlando. Redick's vacated minutes will be up for grabs, and it will be interesting to see whether Udrih or E'Twaun Moore takes advantage. Moore had a nice stretch to open the season (11 points per game in November) and can contribute across several categories.
Harris also has potential but will have to sap minutes away from Moe Harkless. Harkless has been playing well (10.6 points per game this month) and could be the most immediate fantasy beneficiary of Redick's departure.
Tyler had a nice little run at the end of last season, averaging 8.9 points and 5.9 rebounds per game during the final month. It's hard to see him playing his way into fantasy consideration with Atlanta, but I like his potential.
Jenkins also had a few brief breakout moments last season (including three late-season double-doubles), but he'll be lucky to snare five to eight minutes a game with the Sixers.
Brewer won't have a sizable impact in Oklahoma City -- bringing him in was a depth move -- but it should open up some more minutes for Iman Shumpert.
Warrick is supposed to be waived, so McRoberts' leaving Orlando will open up more minutes for Andrew Nicholson. I like Nicholson as a mild breakout candidate over the last part of the season, at least until Glen Davis comes back in April.
This probably will siphon off a few minutes per game from Damian Lillard, who has been clocking close to 40 minutes lately.
No fantasy impact.
No fantasy impact.
No fantasy impact.
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