To some, the PGA Championship marks their last shot to win a major this year. A victory at Oak Hill could single-handedly turn a poor season into a great one. All it takes is a major victory.
For others, it represents the last chance to pick a winner. And where else to pick up The Eliminator's second career win (thank you, Rory McIlroy) than in my homeland of upstate New York?
Yes, add me to the list of pickers and prognosticators this weekend, but I'll do things a little differently. While many browse through some stats, go with a hunch or simply pick Tiger Woods, I have my own method.
We'll see 156 golfers teeing it up Thursday, and I'll come up with reasons that 155 of them cannot hoist the trophy come Sunday evening using a series of statistics and historical trends. The only golfer left standing when the dust clears, in theory, is the champion. I call it The Eliminator.
My success rate this year? Three made cuts, but it's all for naught when you're just trying to pick winners, and I have none in 2013. Sounds like I'm due.
There are 156 golfers in the field, and I know you're all busy people, so I'm going to get rid of more than 80 percent of them with this little nugget. In every year since the WGC-Bridgestone was moved to the week before the PGA Championship, starting in 2007, the eventual PGA winner finished 22nd or better at the Bridgestone.
I'll let the dust settle before telling you that eight of the past nine PGA Championship winners had a previous PGA Tour win that season. The slash-and-burn method continues, as 18 of the remaining 26 go by the wayside. And yes, that includes favorites such as Keegan Bradley, Luke Donald and Steve Stricker.
What do the past three PGA Championship winners have in common? Well, Martin Kaymer, Bradley and McIlroy were all 25 or younger when they won. It's quite the opposite of the Open Championship, where the past three winners have been 42 or older.
But we're picking the PGA here. Looking at the final eight, seven of those golfers are older than 25, including four of the top five players in the world: Woods, Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose and Adam Scott.
So, we're down to one, and it's a golfer with a win and eight top-25 finishes this season who is coming off three straight top-15 finishes. The credentials are there, if not the name value. But expect to know his name by Sunday afternoon.
The Eliminator likes Harris English to win this weekend. Remember, the numbers don't lie.
The Eliminator step-by-step:
1. The past six PGA Championship winners finished at least 22nd at the WGC-Bridgestone.
130 eliminated, 26 remaining
Brendon de Jonge
Charles Howell III
Davis Love III
Jaco Van Zyl
2. Eight of the past nine PGA Championship winners had a PGA Tour win earlier that season.
18 eliminated, 8 remaining
Miguel Angel Jimenez
Bo Van Pelt
3. The past three PGA Championship winners were all 25 or younger.
7 eliminated, 1 remaining
Your winner: Harris English