Celtics' forecast record: 26-56 | 11.9 percent to win lottery
Analysis: GM Danny Ainge may be tempted to grab Jabari Parker here. He's actually a great fit for the Celtics. With a super-skilled frontcourt of Jared Sullinger and Kelly Olynyk, and an athletic backcourt of Rajon Rondo and Avery Bradley, Parker fits well in between. However, the buzz surrounding Embiid has been enormous. There are scouts that say he has Hakeem Olajuwon-like potential and that -- while he's unlikely to dominate as a freshman -- he has the potential to be the best big man to come into the draft in a long time. That much potential in a 7'1" frame may be too much for Ainge to pass on.
Bobcats' forecast record: 27-55 | 8.8 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Draft after draft, the Bobcats continue to miss their shot at a real franchise talent. That should change in 2014. I expect that they'll be praying for Exum if they miss out on Wiggins. They need an explosive scoring guard in the worst way, and Exum's ability to play both the point and the 2 makes him a perfect fit in Charlotte. With Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Kemba Walker and Cody Zeller already in place, adding Exum finally would give the Bobcats a player worth getting excited about.
Kings' forecast record: 30-52 | 6.3 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Kings' two building blocks right now are big man DeMarcus Cousins and athletic 2-guard Ben McLemore. Adding Parker would give the team a skilled small forward -- something the Kings desperately need. And Parker may be the most skilled forward in the draft.
Jazz's forecast record: 30-52 | 4.3 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Jazz drafted their point guard of the future, Trey Burke, in June. They have great young anchors on the front line with Derrick Favors and Enes Kanter. And Gordon Hayward can play both the 2 and the 3. Gordon might be another great fit. He is an explosive player who excels in the open floor. He's trying to make the transition from the 4 to the 3 this year at Arizona. If he improves his handle and jump shot, he could be a lethal combo forward in the NBA and give the Jazz another elite young prospect to build around.
Bucks' forecast record: 32-50 | 2.8 percent to win lottery
Analysis: If the Bucks somehow can get their hands on one of those top three point guards, they'll do it. The team acquired Brandon Knight in a trade this summer, but he doesn't have the long-term potential of Exum, Smart or Harrison. Harrison has as much talent as Smart and Exum, but slides a bit because of questions about his attitude. If John Calipari can get him to mature -- remember when John Wall had all the same questions surrounding him before he played for Calipari at Kentucky? -- then the Bucks could potentially land the best point guard prospect in the draft.
Raptors' forecast record: 35-47 | 1.7 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Raptors' biggest hole is at the 4 and Saric could be a very interesting fit. Once again he was dominant in summer tournament play and is widely regarded as the top young prospect in Europe. A point power forward, he shows off remarkable court vision and is a terrific rebounder. His so-so jump shot and lack of elite quickness keep him from being an elite prospect at the 3, but he could complete a very big front line alongside Jonas Valanciunas and Rudy Gay.
Glenn Robinson III
Los Angeles Lakers
Lakers' forecast record: 36-46 | 1.1 percent to win lottery
Analysis: At some point the Lakers are going to have to start rebuilding, and if our Summer Forecast voters are correct, it's going to start this season. The team really needs help everywhere. There isn't a young building block at any position. Robinson has drawn some positive reviews from observers the past few weeks. He should be carrying a big part of the load for Michigan this season and will gain valuable experience. If he can prove he is a reliable jumper, he'll have a long pro career.
Philadelphia 76ers (via New Orleans Pelicans)*
Sixers' forecast record: 38-44 (for Pelicans) | 0.8 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Putting Harrell on a team that already includes Noel, Carter-Williams and, if they win the lottery, Wiggins is just plain greedy. Harrell is a bouncy energizer who would be a great fit in Philly. He has a terrific motor and is an excellent rebounder, and he proved this summer that his offensive game is coming along nicely. If he has a big sophomore year at Louisville, he might not be around at No. 11. But if he is, he'd be another great building block for the Sixers.
Portland Trail Blazers*
Trail Blazers' forecast record: 39-43 | 0.7 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Blazers actually are trying to make the playoffs in a very crowded Western Conference. But if they don't, the draft is the upside. Cauley-Stein hasn't even begun to realize his potential. He was very raw at Kentucky last season, but when he got it going, everyone could easily see great things to come. The Blazers don't really need another center, but Cauley-Stein's versatility might allow him to back up LaMarcus Aldridge.
Charlotte Bobcats (via Detroit Pistons)*
Bobcats' forecast record: 40-42 (for Pistons) | 0.6 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Analysis: Selden has gotten raves from scouts all summer, and he has been one of the fastest risers on our Board. He's the sort of scoring, power guard that can get his shot off from anywhere that the Bobcats lack. In short, he's a long-term upgrade over Gerald Henderson.
Phoenix Suns (via Minnesota Timberwolves)*
Suns' forecast record: 42-40 (for Wolves) | 0.5 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Young is the true wildcard of the draft. Scouts have been raving about him in Kentucky's practices, and if he ends up dominating this season like he has in the preseason, he'll likely move another 10 spots up the board. If he plays more of a supporting role, he lands here. Adding Randle, Harris and Young to a young core that has Eric Bledsoe at the point and Alex Len at center gives the Suns an amazing young talent base to rebuild from.
Cavaliers' forecast record: 40-42
Analysis: The Cavs biggest need right now may be at the 3 and adding Walker would be a nice fit; however, his stock has slid a bit as the Gators have struggled to get him academically eligible. Walker has lottery talent – so he'd be a steal if he lands here.
Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)*
COLLEGE: Michigan St.
Suns' forecast record: 42-40
Analysis: Harris isn't as sexy as some of the other prospects here, but he quietly put together one of the best freshman seasons in the country last season, and he did it with an injured shoulder. A great athlete, he can defend and shoot with range. He could end up in the lottery if he ever gets healthy.
Hawks' forecast record: 41-41
Analysis: Statheads are in love with Dekker. So are teams that value athletic wings who can shoot the basketball. Dekker had a very solid freshman season, and teams are expecting a breakthrough campaign. A savvy, stat-centric team like the Hawks are sure to pounce on him -- especially with Kyle Korver as the only real 3-man on the roster at the moment.
Mavericks' forecast record: 39-43 | 0.5 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Mavericks GM Donnie Nelson has always loved international players and likely will be bummed if Saric is off the board. But not too bummed. Many scouts and fans in Croatia think Hezonja might actually be the better long-term prospect. A number of scouts I spoke with have Hezonja ranked as a top-10 player in this draft. The small forward could be a long-term solution to a hole at the 3.
Nuggets' forecast record: 43-39
Analysis: McGary is so tough to place right now. If he plays like he did in the NCAA tournament last season, he'll be five to eight spots higher on the board. Assuming he comes down to Earth just a bit (and teams do have concerns about his troubled back), this is likely his range. The Nuggets could really use a low post scoring option, and McGary's defensive toughness and motor would make him valuable to Denver.
Orlando Magic (via Knicks)*
Magic's forecast record: 46-36 (for Knicks)
Analysis: If the Magic go with a point guard with their first pick, adding another big man to the roster would make sense at No. 20. Austin is another player who isn't garnering much consensus at this point. Some see him as a lottery pick. Others see him in the second round. Given his size and emerging skill set, he might be worth the gamble here.
Grizzlies' forecast record: 50-32
Analysis: Tayshaun Prince obviously isn't the long-term solution in Memphis, but Grant has the potential to be. After a so-so freshman campaign, Grant impressed scouts this summer while playing in tryouts with Team USA. A bout of mononucleosis kept him from games, but scouts expect big things this year.
Utah Jazz (via Golden State Warriors)
Jazz's forecast record: 51-31 (for Warriors)
Analysis: The Jazz always could use more shooting, and McDermott made a name for himself this summer with his shooting display during the Team USA national team minicamp. He could become a solid role player with Utah.
Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)*
Celtics' forecast record: 52-30 (for Nets)
Analysis: Poythress has potential to be a high lottery pick. He struggled as a freshman at Kentucky, but the natural athletic abilities and talent are undeniable. If he can earn a starting spot on this Kentucky team and assert himself, he could be a steal this late in the draft.
Rockets' forecast record: 54-28
Analysis: The Rockets are set at virtually every position, but Stokes could be a good fit at power forward. He is very efficient, has a soft touch around the basket, and will be one of the more NBA-ready players in this draft.
Phoenix Suns (via Indiana Pacers)*
Suns' forecast record: 54-28 (for Pacers)
Analysis: The Suns are already netting a new power forward, small forward and shooting guard in this draft. Why not add a point guard, too? Yes, Eric Bledsoe should be the starter for years to come, but Christon's size and toughness could give welcome depth.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thunder's forecast record: 55-27
Analysis: Oklahoma City is the rare team loaded with both veteran talent and interesting young players at virtually every position. The Thunder don't really need anything right now, making Micic an attractive option. Micic was terrific in the U-19s this summer and proved he could hang with some of the top collegians on Team USA. He might be the headiest point guard in the draft and could be a nice long-term fit in OKC.
San Antonio Spurs
COLLEGE: North Carolina
Spurs' forecast record: 55-27
Analysis: The Spurs have a way of reclaiming lost prospects and turning them into something special. I could see McAdoo having that sort of turnaround if he lands on a team like the Spurs. He's blessed with a number of physical tools but looked overwhelmed as a sophomore. If he really gets it going this season, he won't be around when the Spurs are drafting. But if he continues to struggle, I could see Gregg Popovich helping him turn the corner.
Bulls' forecast record: 57-25
Analysis: Johnson isn't even likely to start for Kentucky this season, but that won't stop him from getting mentioned as a possible first-round pick in 2014. He's big, has an NBA body, and likes to mix it up in the paint. If he shows any real promise, someone will take the gamble. The Bulls lack real depth in the middle and might be willing to take a shot on him.
Los Angeles Clippers
COLLEGE: Arizona St.
Clippers' forecast record: 57-25
Analysis: Darren Collison will take Eric Bledsoe's place of in the Clippers' offense this season, but given the tiny deal Collison signed, he's likely to opt out next summer. Carson seems like a perfect fit -- a small, super-quick guard who can light it up from anywhere on the floor. If he were a few inches taller, he'd be a lottery pick.
Heat's forecast record: 60-22
Analysis: Harrison is often overshadowed by his brother Andrew, mostly because Andrew is considered a point while Aaron plays a less desirable position. He has talent and could add a potential big scoring threat to the Heat backcourt.