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Thursday, April 5
Chicago Cubs preview



POWER RANKINGS
Kerry Wood
The Cubs need an entire season from Kerry Wood, who struck out 132 in 137 IP last season.


Strength of schedule
.499, 7th in NL
Lineup ranking
14th in NL
Pitching ranking
14th in NL
Prediction
5th in NL Central

The lowdown
2000 record: 65-97 (6th in NL Central)
Runs scored: 764, 11th in NL
Runs allowed: 904, 15th in NL

Three key issues for 2001
1. Kerry Wood's right arm. Will it hold up over 30+ plus outings and can Don Baylor refrain from abusing it?

2. Is Tom Gordon healthy as the closer and who backs him up in the bullpen?

3. If they're 20 games out in July, do top prospects Corey Patterson and Hee Seop Choi get recalled from the minors?

Three key facts
1. The Cubs finished last for the third time in four seasons and lost 95-plus games in consecutive seasons for the first time in team history.

2. Sammy Sosa has 179 homers the last three seasons, and last season had a career-high .320 batting average and walked a career-best 91 times.

3. Ricky Gutierrez provided unexpected stability at shortstop, achieving career bests in homers (11) and RBI (56) and leading the majors with 16 sacrifice bunts.

RETURNING 2000 STATISTICAL LEADERS
AVG S. Sosa
.320
HR S. Sosa
50
RBI S. Sosa
138
RUN S. Sosa
106
SB E. Young
54
WIN J. Lieber
12
SV R. Aguilera
29
ERA J. Lieber
4.41
Complete 2000 Statistics: Batting | Pitching

Dave Campbell's scenarios
Best case: Central's Ultimate Big Surprise.
Good farm system should be ready to produce, and Kerry Wood could be dynamite.

Worst case: Completely Useless By September.
Even with promising prospects, Cubs could still have a long way to go.

ESPN.com's lineup analysis
Player Comment Pos.
rank*
E. Young, 2B Underrated leadoff man still has great speed 9
B. Mueller, 3B Great glove, draws walks, lacks 3B power 11
R. White, LF He'll never be the big star many expected 12
S. Sosa, RF Has averaged 399 total bases past three years 2
T. Hundley, C Unfortunately, Joe Girardi also gets playing time here 7
M.Stairs, 1B Looks like he belongs in the bleachers, not first base 15
T. Dunwoody, CF Ouch. How long before Corey Patterson is ready? 16
R.Gutierrez, SS Good hands, poor range, hit over his head in '00 8
ESPN.com's pitching staff analysis
K. Wood, RHP Hoping the "K" carries a double meaning 21
J. Lieber, RHP Led majors with 251 IP and 1047 batters faced 19
K. Tapani, RHP ERA under 4.43 just once since 1993 53
J. Bere, RHP Hasn't been good, durable or able to throw strikes 64
Middle relief Kyle Farnsworth, please step up 15
T. Gordon, CL They call him "Flash"; more like Flash in the pan 15

Position average (NL rank): 9.88 (14th)

Pitching index (NL rank): 14.00 (15th)

* Position rank, compiled by ESPN.com's baseball staff, compares each NL team's strength at that position, including platoons, based on players' total projected value (offense, defense, durability) for the 2001 season.

NL position players and bullpens ranked on a 1-16 basis, with 1 being best.
NL starting pitchers ranked on 1-64 basis, with 1 being best. Cumulative rankings of starting pitchers are combined with bullpen and closer for overall pitching index, with more weight given to starters.
In both rankings, 1.00 is the best possible score, 16.00 the worst.

Click here for position-by-position NL rankings.


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