Red Sox simply hard to figure out
Steve Berthiaume is a host for "Baseball Tonight."
Baseball Tonight Live
"Baseball Tonight" analysts, ESPN.com writers and SweetSpot Network bloggers chatted and gave their in-game opinions throughout the day's games -- all in Baseball Tonight Live.
Touch 'Em All
Who went deep? Keep track of all the home runs hit each day on "Baseball Tonight" and the Baseball Tonight Clubhouse page. For more, check out the Home Run Tracker page.
|Mark Teixeira, NYY||8||CLE||Bot 7: 2-2, 2 Outs. 2 on.||Sipp|
|David Ortiz, BOS||11||KC||Bot 5: 1-1, 2 Outs. 1 on.||Thompson|
|Albert Pujols, STL||10||CHC||Top 1: 1-2, 2 Outs. None on.||Dempster|
|Albert Pujols, STL||11||CHC||Top 5: 3-2, 2 Outs. 1 on.||Dempster|
|Albert Pujols, STL||12||CHC||Top 9: 1-2, 2 Outs. None on.||Grabow|
Monday's Best Matchups
Phillies at Braves, 1:10 p.m. ET
Will a change in location help the Phillies' offense? Philadelphia has been shut out four times in six games. One of the games in which they were not shut out they won 1-0 and needed a perfect game from Roy Halladay to sneak out with a victory against the Marlins.
Rockies at Giants, 4:05 p.m. ET
Perhaps the best pitching matchup of the season. The seemingly unhittable Ubaldo Jimenez goes up against back-to-back NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum. Both have one loss, but Jimenez (8-1, 0.88 ERA) has been flawless while Lincecum (5-1, 3.00) has struggled a bit his past two starts, giving up 11 runs in 9 2/3 innings over those two starts.
Reds at Cardinals, 4:15 p.m. ET
The Reds enter with a one-game lead in the NL Central. Opponents are hitting .197 against the Cardinals' Jaime Garcia, which helps explain why he is carrying around a 1.14 ERA. Bronson Arroyo comes in on a roll. He's 5-0 over his past six starts and has won each of his last four. In his most recent outing, he tossed 7 2/3 shutout innings in a 4-0 win over Pittsburgh.
BASEBALL TONIGHT ON THE AIR
|9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN|
Host: Karl Ravech|
Analysts: John Kruk, Bobby Valentine, Nomar Garciaparra, Buster Olney
|12 a.m. ET on ESPN|
Host: Karl Ravech|
Analysts: John Kruk
Flash the leather
WEB GEMS LEADERBOARD
SUNDAY'S BEST AND WORST
BESTAlbert Pujols, 1B, STL
Pujols hammered the Cubs, hitting three homers in the Cardinals' 9-1 win at Wrigley Field. On the day, he went 3-for-3 with four RBIs and four runs scored. When he wasn't drilling homers, Pujols drew a pair of walks.
WORSTVin Mazzaro, RHP, A's
Dallas Braden struggled in the A's 10-2 loss against the Tigers. Things only got worse once he exited, though. Mazzaro gave up four hits, five runs and three walks in only two innings of work. In eight innings of work this season, Mazzaro has given up nine hits and 11 runs.
Avid TMI readers may recall that during spring training, we took our first foray into trying to retool the quality start metric (if you don't recall, click this link).With the Rangers and Twins dueling on Sunday Night Baseball this evening, and lots of talk over the last two seasons about Nolan Ryan's efforts to fix the Rangers' starting pitching staff, we thought it would be an appropriate time to take a look at some results, of which Ryan would figure to be most proud. The results of our initial study (done via regression analysis) told us that the two elements of a pitching line that best predicted whether a team won or lost were the starters' innings pitched and the number of earned runs allowed. Using the data from the regression, we were able to figure out the team's chance of winning for any possible innings/earned runs combination by a starting pitcher. And finally, we defined our "superior start" statistic as any outing in which the starter gave his team at least a 75 percent chance of winning the game. Now that we've passed the quarter pole in the baseball season, let's take a look at some leaderboards. Ubaldo Jimenez and Roy Halladay top our list for pitchers with the most "superior starts" with seven such outings. Jimenez has completely baffled hitters this season. His league and park adjusted ERA+ this season is 515, more than 150 points better than second-place Jaime Garcia. According to our friends at AccuScore, Jimenez actually has a 26 percent chance of winning 25-plus games, a feat which has not been accomplished since Bob Welch in 1990. Halladay, fresh off his perfect game, has kept the suddenly offensively challenged Phillies afloat in his first season in Philadelphia.