UFC 153    October 13, 2012
Dave Herman vs Jon Olav Einemo
Rod Mar/ESPN.com

BREAKDOWN

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is a tough heavyweight to predict now. Respectfully, he looked like an old man in fights against Randy Couture and Cain Velasquez three years ago. He took a year off to get healthy and looked much better against Brendan Schaub and Frank Mir. Now, another injury, another layoff -- how's he going to look? He's a better fighter than Dave Herman. Herman is a 233-pound fly in this division who buzzes around with a high pace, but he's years behind Nogueira technique-wise, and he has that nasty habit of dropping his hands and sticking his chin in the air. Nogueira should win this on the feet, and if he has any explosiveness left, he could probably take it to the ground, too.