UFC 158    March 16, 2013
Jake Ellenberger
Ric Fogel for ESPN.com

BREAKDOWN

Tough one to call between Jake Ellenberger and Nate Marquardt. Really hasn't been one specific, go-to way to beat Marquardt. He's been bothered by pressure in his career, but he's also been outpointed in the center of the cage. Ellenberger is just going to be Ellenberger. He's got some decent counter-striking to go along with that awesome lead hook and he brings some awkwardness that bothers guys, especially early. His gas tank is not great so he's been slightly conservative with energy lately. This is one of those fights with the potential to go anywhere. Marquardt's footwork is a little better but Ellenberger has a wrestling advantage. Expect momentum swings.