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What a lost season could cost LeBron

Projecting James' 2011-12 stats, and what a missed season would mean to his legacy

Updated: September 21, 2011, 12:51 PM ET
By Kevin Pelton | Basketball Prospectus

The upcoming NBA season could be meaningful when it comes to defining the careers of all types of players. With the help of Basketball Prospectus' SCHOENE projection system, we're taking a look at what to expect from some of the league's stars this season in order to see what potentially missing the season due to an NBA lockout might mean in the big picture.

We've started things off by projecting the 2011-12 season stats for LeBron James.

2011-12 projection: 27.8 ppg, 7.5 apg, 7.1 rpg

In terms of per-game averages, James' projection looks a lot like a carbon copy of his 2010-11 campaign, which saw him average 26.7 points, 7.5 rebounds and 7.0 assists. Still, SCHOENE projects an important step forward for James from long distance. His projection calls for 35.9 percent 3-point shooting, which would be a notable improvement over his previous career high of 34.4 percent, set in 2008-09. At the same age, players similar to James tended to hone their outside game.

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