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Is Shabazz Muhammad overrated?

What the scouts and stats are saying about the top NBA draft prospects

Updated: March 29, 2013, 3:37 PM ET
By Kevin Pelton | ESPN Insider

Last week's drama involving UCLA star Shabazz Muhammad made clear what statistical analysts have long known about the NBA draft: Age matters. The Bruins have been listing Muhammad's birthday as Nov. 22, 1993, but an investigation by the Los Angeles Times found that Muhammad's birth certificate is actually dated a year earlier, making Muhammad 20, and not 19 -- older than the typical college freshman. If Muhammad declares for the NBA draft as expected, the difference could cost him a few spots in the lottery. It should.

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