Originally Published: June 25, 2014

Winner-take-all finale on tap in Omaha

By Mitch Sherman | ESPN.com

OMAHA, Neb. -- We're down to one game at the College World Series. Vanderbilt or Virginia will walk away on Wednesday night with its first national championship. The game starts at 8 ET on ESPN.

UVa evened the best-of-three championship series on Tuesday night with a 7-2 victory behind a complete-game performance from sophomore left-hander Brandon Waddell.

The Cavaliers have outhit Vandy 28-11 in two games at TD Ameritrade Park. But it's a clean slate for Game 3. For the first time since 2009, it's winner-take-all in Omaha.

"It's just one game left," Vanderbilt center fielder John Norwood said, "so you've got to put it all out there."

Keep an eye on these storylines:

Who has momentum? It's Virginia, no doubt. The Cavs are hitting .354 (28-for-79) in the championship series compared to Vanderbilt's .177 (11-for-62). That figure for the Commodores drops to .143 without its nine-run third inning on Monday, which was aided by five walks. Of Vandy's 20 losses this year, 10 have come in successive games, so coach Tim Corbin's club has not responded well to defeat. But the Commodores are 2-0 this postseason in elimination games, defeating Stanford in super regionals and Texas 4-3 in 10 innings on Saturday. Virginia is 3-0 in elimination games after Monday.

The pitching matchup: Both teams appear set to use starting pitchers on three days of rest. Vanderbilt ace Carson Fulmer (7-1, 2.00 ERA) threw 90 pitches on Saturday against Texas, his second CWS start. The sophomore right-hander earned a victory for 5 1/3 innings against Louisville on June 14 in Vandy's CWS opener. After largely resting its bullpen on Tuesday, Vanderbilt likely will employ no such strategy in Game 3. The Commodores have not received a quality start since the final game of regionals. Their bullpen in the postseason has allowed eight earned runs in 30 1/3 innings, while starters have surrendered 21 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings. For Virginia, sophomore right-hander Josh Sborz (6-4, 2.84) started Friday against Ole Miss and Saturday in the resumption of the game, allowing one unearned run on 81 pitches over five innings for the win. Sborz has not allowed an earned run in 12 innings over two starts this postseason. Notably, Virginia relievers Artie Lewicki and Nick Howard, who together own a spotless ERA in 24 2/3 postseason innings, have not worked since Saturday.

On the basepaths: Vanderbilt holds the edge in speed, although Virginia has kept the Commodores in check over two days -- in part by limiting baserunners. Vandy has stolen three bases in four attempts after swiping 13 in four CWS games to reach the championship series. Look for Vanderbilt to run on Wednesday, if opportunities arise. Its speed, even without getting too aggressive, affected Virginia's third-inning meltdown on Monday. The Cavs, meanwhile, used a pair of hit-and-run calls and stole a base on Tuesday in the key three-run sixth inning to avoid double plays and maximize the damage against Vandy pitcher Tyler Beede.

Comments

Use a Facebook account to add a comment, subject to Facebook's Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Your Facebook name, photo & other personal information you make public on Facebook will appear with your comment, and may be used on ESPN's media platforms. Learn more.