College Basketball Bubble Watch

Updated: February 11, 2014, 8:28 PM ET
By Eamonn Brennan | ESPN.com


It's a new season in the world of Bubble Watch

Editor's note: This file has been updated to include all games through Monday.

Behold the return of the Bubble Watch! Look upon the Watch's works, ye mighty bubble teams, and despair!

That's right. It's time to officially kick off everyone's favorite part of the college basketball season, when everyone agonizes over every win and loss, when every result feels as if it has a massive impact on your school's season.

Of all the basic misunderstandings about NCAA tournament selection, that's probably the biggest: that results in February necessarily matter more than those that came in November. In recent seasons, the NCAA has definitively proved that to be a canard, and it's important to keep in mind moving forward. In other words: deep breaths.

A few other helpful reminders:

• Locks are genuinely reserved for teams that have absolutely zero chance of missing the NCAA tournament. It's a little conservative sometimes, but that's probably for the best. The "should be in" category exists for a reason, you know?
• RPI is far from the only criteria that matters. In some cases, teams with good RPIs fail to make the tournament in favor of teams with more questionable numbers, but fuller résumés. Everything is of a piece.
• The Watch will update every Tuesday and Friday from now on, with more regular updates as Selection Sunday draws nearer.
• All RPI numbers based on ESPN RPI data.
• The introduction will be more interesting in future editions, promise.

Any other questions? No? Then let's get to it.