Discussion

How to bet Indiana-Minnesota

Projecting ATS winners for Tuesday's biggest college basketball games

Originally Published: February 26, 2013
By Dave Tuley | ESPN Insider

Every week for the rest of the college basketball season, Dave Tuley will resume his "Tuley's Take" on the big midweek games with a piece on Tuesday and another on Wednesday as we head toward the conference tournaments (his favorite time to find live underdogs in recent years) and into March Madness. He'll give a projected point spread and pick for each.

Last week was a successful start to "Tuley's Take: CBB Edition."

It started on Tuesday with Indiana knocking off Michigan State 72-68 as a short road underdog (it's not often you get to take the No. 1 team in the nation plus points) and Missouri rallying to upset Florida 63-60 as a 5-point underdog. In the other Tuesday game, I made it quite clear that I was passing on Miami vs. Virginia as an actual bet, especially with it laying 9 points, but we labeled it as a pick so if people want to count that as a loss, so be it.

On Wednesday, Iowa State beat Baylor 87-82 as a 4.5-point underdog, then I suffered my first clear-cut loser with Oklahoma State falling 68-67 to Kansas in overtime at pick-'em. So, I'm either 3-1 ATS or 3-2 ATS if you saddle me with the Miami selection (heck, I wish I had totally adhered to the "underdog-or-pass" mantra, as that should have kept me off the Oklahoma State pick since it wasn't the 'dog at pick-em and was actually minus-1 at a lot of books).

But enough looking back, let's look ahead to Tuesday's games:

Indiana Hoosiers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Projected point spread: Indiana minus-6
PickCenter breakdown

I was more than happy to bet the Hoosiers last week, but in sports betting it's important to not fall in love with teams but to try to objectively find the right side of each game in relation to the point spread. Minnesota is on a slide (3-7 straight up and 2-7-1 against the spread since the last time it played Indiana), but I'm not afraid to flip allegiances here. The Golden Gophers certainly need this game more to keep from falling closer to the NCAA bubble.

MORE MEN'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL HEADLINES