Georgetown moves to No. 1 seed
Bracket Math: Hoyas replace Miami as top seed; Bubble shrinks
This edition of Bracket Math includes games through Saturday, March 2. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.
Notes on the "new" math:
• So Duke Blue Devils fans are angry because I haven't put them back on the top line, this despite trailing Miami by two full games in the ACC and being outscored by the Hurricanes by 24 points in two meetings. The fact of the matter is that Duke has the worst road record (4-4) of any team on the top two lines and we may need a "rubber game" between the two before either regains a No. 1 seed.
• Georgetown, on the other hand, has won 11 straight in a better conference and now has road victories over Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Syracuse and Connecticut. The Hoyas have a daunting final week -- at Villanova and a revenge encounter with the Orange -- so their hold on our fourth No. 1 seed may be tenuous. This is going down to the wire, and the committee is going to have to pay more attention than usual to selection weekend games in the major conferences to get it right.
• A fairly uncomplicated bubble picture was completely blown apart on Saturday, especially in the SEC. Pay close attention to the following sentence and you'll have a better understanding of why Tennessee sits in the final at-large spot: Not all conference schedules are created equal, and the Vols (No. 69) are a good bit ahead of league brethren Alabama (No. 123), Kentucky (No. 103), Ole Miss (No. 121) and Arkansas (No. 93) in that category.
• Most impactful Monday games: Kansas (versus Texas Tech), Norfolk State (versus Florida A&M), Baylor (at Texas).
• Most impactful Tuesday games: Big South quarterfinals, Southern Miss (at Marshall), Arkansas (at Missouri), Ohio (at Buffalo), Providence (versus Seton Hall), Ohio State at Indiana, Alabama at Ole Miss, Boise State (at UNLV).
This is where I project teams would fall if Selection Sunday were today. Remember, the S-curve flows left to right, then right to left, then back again as you read down the chart.
To read about why Miami is no longer a No. 1 seed, and to see how the latest S-curve breaks down, sign up for ESPN Insider today.
Insider CBB content
• Greenberg/Telep: Kansas Jayhawks
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Marquette
• Gasaway/Rankin: Indiana Hoosiers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Michigan Wolverines
• Gasaway/Rankin: Ohio State Buckeyes
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Memphis Tigers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Florida Gators
• Greenberg/Telep: Kentucky Wildcats
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Louisville Cardinals
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Syracuse Orange
• Greenberg/Biancardi: NC State Wolfpack
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Duke Blue Devils
• Biancardi/Gasaway: North Carolina Tar Heels
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Arizona Wildcats
• Greenberg/Telep: UCLA Bruins
• Gasaway: Breakout second-year coaches
• Lunardi: Could Louisville repeat as champs?
• Greenberg: UVA tops list of surprise teams
• Fraschilla: How returning stars can improve
• Gasaway: Top title challengers to Kentucky
• Lunardi: Who will earn No. 1 seeds in 2014?
• Telep: Latest on No. 13 junior Theo Pinson
• Rankin: What Wiggins means for Kansas
• Biancardi: KU to prep Wiggins for NBA success
• Telep: Updated look at top recruits
• Roundtable: Most impressive on AAU circuit?
• Ford: NBA draft lottery preview
• Ford: Winners from the NBA draft combine
• Fraschilla: Burke the draft's top point guard?
• Ford: Measurements concern some GMs
• Ford: Why Wiggins would go No. 1 in 2013
Jay Bilas Blog
Jay's take on latest from around the nation
Analysis from Fraschilla, Greenberg and Lunardi
Get news and rumblings before anyone
Hollinger's College PER
College basketball's top players
Get wagering advice for every game