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Giant Killers: Sunday upset odds

Chances that Miami, Kansas, Duke and other favorites fall in Round of 32

Updated: March 23, 2013, 12:10 PM ET
By Peter Keating | ESPN Insider

Sunday's round of 32 offers a full slate of exciting Giant Killer matchups: seven games, including five in which our statistical model says the underdog has at least a 25 percent chance of winning. With the 7- to 10-seeds stacked with potential Cinderellas and even Florida Gulf Coast packing a slingshot, here's how things break down, region by region.

(For a full explanation of our formula, click here.)

East Region

No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers vs. No. 9 Temple Owls

Upset chance: 7.9 percent

We cite points per 100 possessions as a stat so often around here that you might be wondering who leads the country in that all-important category. The answer, after adjusting for opponent strength: Indiana, at a massive 123.9.

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