Discussion

Upset odds, picks for Week 11

Selecting winners for the week's biggest games and top value plays

Updated: November 8, 2012, 3:24 PM ET
By Will Harris | ESPN Insider

Every week during the season, Will Harris will check with the computers (using Insider's PickCenter) and wiseguys to evaluate the upset possibilities in college football's most compelling games and give his picks for which team will come out on top.

There wasn't much change at the top of the rankings after Week 10 hit the books, but that doesn't mean there weren't several teams that moved up and down in our esteem. Upset Watch is always concerned with performances across the entire FBS, and Week 10 left us impressed with LSU, Texas A&M, USC's incredible skill players, Arkansas' effort, Middle Tennessee State, Army's resolve and San Diego State's special teams. Week 10 disappointments include Mississippi State, the Connecticut offense, Michigan's rush defense and Nick Saban's ill-fated blitz-happy game plan.

A 6-4 week leaves Upset Watch at 60-39 against the number this year. We'll look to improve on that against a difficult Week 11 slate that's short on live 'dogs but does provide us with a few good spots.

Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama is favored by 13.5 points
TeamRankings win odds for Texas A&M: 20 percent

The Aggies caught one of Mississippi State's worst efforts of the Dan Mullen era, but hanging 36 first downs and nearly 700 yards on the Bulldogs was nonetheless an impressive reinforcement of the great first impression the entire program has made on the SEC.

MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL HEADLINES