Originally Published: August 30, 2013

And the server says ...

THIS TIME OF YEAR, everyone has a theory -- about the players who'll matter the most, the games that'll go to the wire and the team that'll exit New Jersey with the Lombardi trophy. You can have your hunches; we'll take analytics every time. So we turned to some of the NFL's smartest statheads. Football Outsiders mined its 22 seasons of data to forecast each team's offensive and defensive performance. Pro-Football Reference used its Approximate Value metric to highlight a non-QB MVP, while our resident Football Scientist, KC Joyner, studied the bad decisions of each signal-caller. Finally, Pro Football Focus performed its algorithmic gymnastics to predict the scores of all 256 regular-season games and our playoff bracket. The only theory left to test: Does champagne taste sweeter at Mile High or the Meadowlands?

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