Peyton Manning tops QBR Rankings List
Top two individual seasons belong to Indianapolis QB
The Total Quarterback Rating is a statistical measure that incorporates the contexts and details of throws and what they mean for wins. It's built from the team level down to the quarterback, where we understand first what each play means to the team, then give credit to the quarterback for what happened on a play based on what he contributed.
Total QBR Basics
A quick primer on the fundamentals of Total Quarterback Rating:
Scoring: 0-100, from low to high. An average QB would be at 50.
Win Probability: All QB plays are scored based on how much they contribute to a win. By determining expected point totals for almost any situation, Total QBR is able to apply points to a quarterback based on every type of play he would be involved in.
Dividing Credit: Total QBR factors in such things as overthrows, underthrows, yards after the catch and more to accurately determine how much a QB contributes to each play.
Clutch Index: How critical a certain play is based on when it happens in a game is factored into the score.
At the team level, identifying what wins games is not revolutionary: scoring points and not allowing points. In the 1980s, "The Hidden Game of Football" did some pioneering work on that topic and how yardage relates to points.
We went back and updated what that book did then we went further. At the individual level, more detailed information about what quarterbacks do is really necessary. Brian Burke at AdvancedNFLStats.com has done good work in advancing that effort, and FootballOutsiders.com has done some of this by charting data. And over the past three years ESPN has charted football games in immense detail.
By putting all these ideas together and incorporating division of credit, we have built a metric of quarterback value, the Total Quarterback Rating, Total QBR or QBR for short.
QBR Leaders: 2008-10
Over the three years that were charted to create the QBR, one name rises to the top, with Peyton Manning recording the best seasons.
| Rank | Season | QB | Team | Action Plays | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009 | Peyton Manning | IND | 660 | 82.3 |
| 2 | 2008 | Peyton Manning | IND | 649 | 79.7 |
| 3 | 2009 | Drew Brees | NO | 613 | 77.2 |
| 4 | 2010 | Tom Brady | NE | 607 | 76.0 |
| 5 | 2008 | Matt Ryan | ATL | 570 | 72.6 |
| 6 | 2008 | Chad Pennington | MIA | 577 | 72.3 |
| 7 | 2009 | Philip Rivers | SD | 602 | 71.8 |
| 8 | 2008 | Jay Cutler | DEN | 741 | 71.3 |
| 9 | 2009 | Matt Schaub | HOU | 694 | 71.0 |
| 10 | 2009 | Aaron Rodgers | GB | 717 | 69.7 |
| 11 | 2010 | Peyton Manning | IND | 779 | 69.5 |
| 12 | 2009 | Vince Young | TEN | 347 | 69.2 |
| 13 | 2008 | Matt Schaub | HOU | 474 | 69.2 |
| 14 | 2008 | Philip Rivers | SD | 590 | 69.1 |
| 15 | 2010 | Matt Ryan | ATL | 709 | 68.6 |
| 16 | 2010 | Aaron Rodgers | GB | 627 | 67.9 |
| 17 | 2009 | Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 652 | 67.3 |
| 18 | 2010 | Michael Vick | PHI | 547 | 66.6 |
| 19 | 2008 | Kurt Warner | ARI | 702 | 66.5 |
| 20 | 2010 | Drew Brees | NO | 760 | 65.9 |
| 21 | 2009 | Eli Manning | NYG | 613 | 65.9 |
| 22 | 2008 | Aaron Rodgers | GB | 691 | 64.5 |
| 23 | 2009 | Kurt Warner | ARI | 619 | 64.5 |
| 24 | 2009 | Tony Romo | DAL | 696 | 64.4 |
| 25 | 2010 | Eli Manning | NYG | 654 | 64.3 |
| 26 | 2008 | Jake Delhomme | CAR | 513 | 64.0 |
| 27 | 2010 | Josh Freeman | TB | 626 | 63.5 |
| 28 | 2010 | Philip Rivers | SD | 667 | 63.2 |
| 29 | 2009 | Tom Brady | NE | 677 | 63.2 |
| 30 | 2008 | Drew Brees | NO | 729 | 63.1 |
| 31 | 2009 | Brett Favre | MIN | 643 | 63.1 |
| 32 | 2008 | Eli Manning | NYG | 596 | 61.3 |
| 33 | 2008 | Matt Cassel | NE | 673 | 61.0 |
| 34 | 2008 | Jeff Garcia | TB | 462 | 60.7 |
| 35 | 2010 | Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 500 | 59.8 |
| 36 | 2010 | Tony Romo | DAL | 251 | 58.1 |
| 37 | 2010 | Joe Flacco | BAL | 647 | 58.1 |
| 38 | 2010 | Matt Schaub | HOU | 678 | 57.8 |
| 39 | 2009 | Matt Ryan | ATL | 556 | 57.7 |
| 40 | 2009 | Donovan McNabb | PHI | 569 | 57.3 |
| 41 | 2010 | David Garrard | JAC | 510 | 57.3 |
| 42 | 2008 | Shaun Hill | SF | 366 | 57.0 |
| 43 | 2008 | Kerry Collins | TEN | 492 | 56.9 |
| 44 | 2010 | Kerry Collins | TEN | 342 | 56.0 |
| 45 | 2008 | Jason Campbell | WAS | 654 | 54.8 |
| 46 | 2008 | Seneca Wallace | SEA | 299 | 53.5 |
| 47 | 2009 | Carson Palmer | CIN | 615 | 53.2 |
| 48 | 2009 | Kyle Orton | DEN | 650 | 52.9 |
| 49 | 2009 | Joe Flacco | BAL | 632 | 52.6 |
| 50 | 2008 | Donovan McNabb | PHI | 671 | 51.9 |
| 51 | 2010 | Matt Cassel | KC | 566 | 51.2 |
| 52 | 2009 | Chad Henne | MIA | 538 | 51.1 |
| 53 | 2008 | Dan Orlovsky | DET | 301 | 51.1 |
| 54 | 2009 | Jay Cutler | CHI | 693 | 51.0 |
| 55 | 2008 | Tyler Thigpen | KC | 546 | 50.8 |
| 56 | 2008 | David Garrard | JAC | 711 | 50.8 |
| 57 | 2009 | David Garrard | JAC | 683 | 50.4 |
| 58 | 2008 | Tony Romo | DAL | 551 | 50.1 |
| 59 | 2008 | Trent Edwards | BUF | 480 | 49.7 |
| 60 | 2009 | Jason Campbell | WAS | 647 | 49.4 |
| 61 | 2010 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | BUF | 551 | 48.7 |
| 62 | 2010 | Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 619 | 47.4 |
| 63 | 2010 | Carson Palmer | CIN | 720 | 46.7 |
| 64 | 2010 | Colt McCoy | CLE | 290 | 46.6 |
| 65 | 2010 | Kyle Orton | DEN | 612 | 46.6 |
| 66 | 2008 | Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 608 | 46.4 |
| 67 | 2010 | Jon Kitna | DAL | 409 | 46.1 |
| 68 | 2008 | Kyle Orton | CHI | 560 | 45.7 |
| 69 | 2010 | Shaun Hill | DET | 499 | 44.8 |
| 70 | 2010 | Jason Campbell | OAK | 479 | 43.8 |
| 71 | 2010 | Jay Cutler | CHI | 596 | 42.6 |
| 72 | 2010 | Matt Hasselbeck | SEA | 547 | 42.4 |
| 73 | 2009 | Alex Smith | SF | 463 | 42.2 |
| 74 | 2008 | Gus Frerotte | MIN | 394 | 42.1 |
| 75 | 2008 | Brett Favre | NYJ | 639 | 41.7 |
| 76 | 2008 | Joe Flacco | BAL | 586 | 41.6 |
| 77 | 2010 | Chad Henne | MIA | 604 | 41.4 |
| 78 | 2010 | Donovan McNabb | WAS | 596 | 41.0 |
| 79 | 2010 | Sam Bradford | STL | 732 | 41.0 |
| 80 | 2010 | Alex Smith | SF | 426 | 40.0 |
| 81 | 2008 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | CIN | 507 | 38.7 |
| 82 | 2010 | Derek Anderson | ARI | 387 | 35.9 |
| 83 | 2008 | JaMarcus Russell | OAK | 472 | 34.5 |
| 84 | 2009 | Brady Quinn | CLE | 321 | 33.2 |
| 85 | 2008 | Marc Bulger | STL | 556 | 33.0 |
| 86 | 2009 | Matthew Stafford | DET | 460 | 32.9 |
| 87 | 2009 | Marc Bulger | STL | 309 | 31.9 |
| 88 | 2009 | Kerry Collins | TEN | 256 | 31.5 |
| 89 | 2009 | Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 473 | 30.9 |
| 90 | 2008 | Matt Hasselbeck | SEA | 259 | 30.9 |
| 91 | 2009 | Jake Delhomme | CAR | 396 | 30.5 |
| 92 | 2009 | Matt Cassel | KC | 658 | 30.2 |
| 93 | 2009 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | BUF | 310 | 29.9 |
| 94 | 2008 | Derek Anderson | CLE | 366 | 29.6 |
| 95 | 2009 | Matt Hasselbeck | SEA | 592 | 26.7 |
| 96 | 2010 | Brett Favre | MIN | 459 | 25.8 |
| 97 | 2009 | Josh Freeman | TB | 373 | 25.8 |
| 98 | 2009 | Trent Edwards | BUF | 256 | 25.7 |
| 99 | 2008 | J.T. O'Sullivan | SF | 329 | 20.3 |
| 100 | 2010 | Jimmy Clausen | CAR | 397 | 11.7 |
| 101 | 2009 | JaMarcus Russell | OAK | 341 | 10.5 |
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