<
>

Every team's odds to win the Super Bowl next year

play
Best bets for Super Bowl 51 (2:31)

ESPN Chalk writer Dave Tuley walks you through the early lines for Super Bowl 51. (2:31)

NFL Nation reporters analyze every team's odds to win Super Bowl LI. All odds are courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

AFC EAST

Buffalo Bills

Super Bowl Odds: 30-1

The Bills have the 13th-best odds to win the Super Bowl, which seems perfectly reasonable for a team that was among the best non-playoff teams this season. Bills fans also will be pleased to see their odds are even with the Jets' and considerably better than the Dolphins' (50-1). Until the Bills snap their 16-year playoff drought and begin to show they're more serious contenders for a Super Bowl, this is about as low as they'll get. -- Mike Rodak

Miami Dolphins

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

No complaints here with the Dolphins' very long odds of winning the Super Bowl next season. They have a rookie head coach in Adam Gase, an inconsistent quarterback in Ryan Tannehill and a playoff drought that stretches seven seasons. In addition, the Dolphins were 1-5 against the AFC East last season. They won't sniff the Super Bowl until that changes. -- James Walker

New England Patriots

Super Bowl Odds: 8-1

The Patriots, who are currently co-favorites with the Seahawks and Steelers, should be right back in the mix again, with no major free agents this offseason and QB Tom Brady still playing at a high level. The Bill Belichick/Brady duo enters its 17th season together, and all championship hopes start with the coach/QB combination. -- Mike Reiss

New York Jets

Super Bowl Odds: 30-1

The Jets are tied for the 13th-best odds to win the Super Bowl, virtually the same position they finished in 2015 -- just outside the playoffs. The odds could fluctuate greatly depending on what happens in the offseason, as four of the Jets' top players are free agents -- Muhammad Wilkerson, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Chris Ivory and Damon Harrison. If they lose a couple of those key contributors, they'll sink lower on the list. -- Rich Cimini

AFC NORTH

Baltimore Ravens

Super Bowl Odds: 30-1

The Ravens were given the same opening odds as last offseason, when Baltimore had advanced to the AFC divisional playoffs. These odds indicate the Ravens have a reasonable shot at rebounding from a 5-11 season once injured stars like Joe Flacco, Steve Smith Sr. and Terrell Suggs return from injuries. Middle-of-the-pack odds are exactly what you'd expect for the Ravens, who are coming off their first losing season under coach John Harbaugh. -- Jamison Hensley

Cincinnati Bengals

Super Bowl Odds: 14-1

The Bengals are tied with the Broncos for the third-best odds in the AFC. Considering where Cincinnati finished the 2015 season and where it appears to be headed in 2016 (before free agency), that's probably an accurate estimation. Even after a bevy of coaching changes, the Bengals look like a competitive playoff team again. While Cincinnati winning another AFC North championship isn't out of the realm of possibility, Pittsburgh has better odds to win the Super Bowl (8-1) -- and justifiably so. It's hard believing the Bengals will finish the 2016 season better than the more stable Steelers. -- Coley Harvey

Cleveland Browns

Super Bowl Odds: 200-1

The Browns are not only the longest shot for the Super Bowl, they're also the only team with triple-figure odds -- and 200-1 at that. It's a fair assessment, after the Browns finished 3-13 and look to be starting over at QB again. Add in the lack of playmakers and a poor defense, and 2,000-1 odds wouldn't be crazy. -- Pat McManamon

Pittsburgh Steelers

Super Bowl Odds: 8-1

The Steelers are trending upward, but they don't deserve Super Bowl odds better than the Panthers and Cardinals, both of whom sit at 10-1. Those teams are better positioned than Pittsburgh, and their rosters are more versatile -- at least on paper. With that said, the Steelers are a few defensive pieces from pushing for their first Super Bowl title since the 2008 season. -- Jeremy Fowler

AFC SOUTH

Houston Texans

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

The Texans are squarely in the middle of the pack, tied for the 16th-lowest odds. Despite the slumping division, making it to the playoffs with a winning record was an impressive feat this season. With some steadiness at quarterback -- not greatness, just steadiness -- the Texans might be formidable in 2016. But there's no evidence, as we sit here today, that they'll have that next season. -- Tania Ganguli

Indianapolis Colts

Super Bowl Odds: 20-1

Yes, the Colts have QB Andrew Luck returning next season, but they also have too flawed of a roster to be mentioned in the same category with the likes of New England, Denver, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. Those teams are in a better position win the Super Bowl as things stand now, with loads of question marks along Indy's offensive line and defense. -- Mike Wells

Jacksonville Jaguars

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

Considering how poorly the defense played last season and the fact that GM David Caldwell still has to address the pass rush, free safety and linebacker in free agency and the draft, I'd say these odds are generous. The Jaguars do have the most important ingredient, though: a franchise quarterback in Blake Bortles. -- Mike DiRocco

Tennessee Titans

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

The Titans could be bad enough in 2016 that they aren't even allowed to purchase tickets to Super Bowl LI. Frankly, these odds seem generous. -- Paul Kuharsky

AFC WEST

Denver Broncos

Super Bowl Odds: 14-1

This is a fair assessment if the Broncos don't get enough done as far as signing their prospective free agents -- a list that includes linebacker Von Miller, defensive end Malik Jackson, safety David Bruton Jr., linebacker Danny Trevathan and running back Ronnie Hillman. But if they retain the majority of those guys -- and get a quick resolution to Peyton Manning's plans next season, along with another solid draft -- this team would have a much better chance than 14-1 to win the Super Bowl. -- Jeff Legwold

Kansas City Chiefs

Super Bowl Odds: 20-1

These odds are reasonable for the Chiefs, at least from this very early vantage point. It's also hard to argue with Vegas' assessment that the Chiefs are considered to be tied with the Colts for the fifth-best team in the AFC behind the Patriots, Steelers, Bengals and Broncos -- Adam Teicher

Oakland Raiders

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

The Raiders more than doubled their win total in Jack Del Rio's first year, were competitive in more games than in recent memory and have a solid core in QB Derek Carr, WR Amari Cooper and DE/LB Khalil Mack, who was voted first-team All-Pro at two positions. So it seems silly (at best) and harsh (at worst) that only two teams, the 49ers and Browns, have worse Super Bowl odds than Oakland. Nobody is expecting the Raiders to win the Super Bowl next season, but a playoff push is not out of the realm of possibility. One wild card is whether the retirements of Charles Woodson and Justin Tuck will create a leadership void in the locker room. -- Paul Gutierrez

San Diego Chargers

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

The Chargers have many holes to fix after a 4-12 season that included going winless in the AFC West. So 50-1 odds of winning the Super Bowl seem reasonable, although you could argue San Diego's odds should be better with a franchise quarterback like Philip Rivers at the helm. -- Eric D. Williams

NFC EAST

Dallas Cowboys

Super Bowl Odds: 16-1

Coming off a 4-12 season it doesn't seem as if the Cowboys should have the fifth-best odds in the NFC to win Super Bowl LI, but that's the power of a healthy Tony Romo and Dez Bryant. The Cowboys are 15-4 in Romo's last 19 starts, including three of their four wins in 2015. The Cowboys have key pieces in place to contend in the NFC and win the NFC East. They just need to make sure Romo stays healthy. -- Todd Archer

New York Giants

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

Giants fans aren't used to thinking of their team as a 40-1 shot to win the Super Bowl. But it's hard to argue that they deserve a shorter number than this after three straight sub-.500 seasons and given the sorry state of the roster. This team needs to identify at least seven defensive starters this offseason and enters 2016 with a rookie head coach. Right behind them on the list are Washington, Atlanta and Chicago -- any or all of whom could justifiably feel closer to the Super Bowl than the Giants. -- Dan Graziano

Philadelphia Eagles

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

When a franchise has never won a Super Bowl -- and has played in only two -- it's pretty hard to complain that the odds are too long. The Eagles are 50-1, along with seven other teams. They have the longest odds in the NFC East, which would raise an eyebrow if they hadn't just changed head coaches. Until we see what a Doug Pederson-coached team looks like -- not to mention who is playing quarterback -- it's hard to envision the Eagles as anything other than a long shot. -- Phil Sheridan

Washington Redskins

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

I question some teams ahead of them (Buffalo at 30-1?), but the Redskins have the same odds as six other teams, with Houston being the only other 2015 playoff team. The Redskins' defense needs to be overhauled, and until we see how it ultimately looks, it's hard to say how much better it will be. Because the Redskins won a bad division and didn't beat a team with a winning record, some skepticism is warranted. But it's also true that they're trending upward because of second-year general manager Scot McCloughan and quarterback Kirk Cousins, among others. More broadly on the NFC East race, I'm not sure if Dallas (16-1) should be that much higher than everyone else in the division. Getting Tony Romo back and healthy helps, but how healthy will he be at age 36? -- John Keim

NFC NORTH

Chicago Bears

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

The Bears made strides in Year 1 under John Fox. Their 6-10 record is a little deceiving; they lost only three games all season by more than one score. With another year for Fox and GM Ryan Pace to continue to improve the weak points on defense, Chicago certainly could challenge for a playoff spot. But even so, the Bears don't deserve to have better odds than the 15 teams ahead of them on the list. -- ESPN.com

Detroit Lions

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

As the situation stands now, with Calvin Johnson contemplating retirement and a new front office in place, these odds seem fair. If Megatron ultimately decides to walk away from the game, you'd think the number would shift a bit, given how much opposing defenses devise a game plan for him. -- Michael Rothstein

Green Bay Packers

Super Bowl Odds: 10-1

With the return of Jordy Nelson from the ACL tear that kept him out all of last season, Eddie Lacy expected to be in better shape and the possible addition of another weapon (perhaps a stretch-the-field tight end) for Aaron Rodgers, there's reason to think the Packers' offense will be back to what everyone is used to seeing in 2016. The window of opportunity to win another Super Bowl with Rodgers is still open. -- Rob Demovsky

Minnesota Vikings

Super Bowl Odds: 20-1

You could make the case that the Vikings' odds shouldn't be twice as long as the Packers' after beating them for the division title. The same case could be made for the Vikings being ahead of the Cowboys (16-1), though oddsmakers are counting on both Dallas and Green Bay getting major offensive weapons back from injury. This number suggests that Vegas expects the Vikings will be in the thick of the NFC playoff race, and with their defense returning mostly intact, they should be. If the Vikings shore up their offensive line and Teddy Bridgewater takes the next step, 20-1 could look like a steal. -- Ben Goessling

NFC SOUTH

Atlanta Falcons

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

The Falcons' odds are on par with the rival Saints, Texans, Giants, Bears and Lions. Right above the Falcons with 30-1 odds are the Jets, Bills, and Ravens. Regardless of the comparisons, the Falcons know they need to improve talent on both sides of the ball to be serious Super Bowl contenders. Until that happens, they'll be in the middle of the pack or lower. -- Vaughn McClure

Carolina Panthers

Super Bowl Odds: 10-1

It still shows somewhat a lack of respect that the Panthers aren't at least co-favorites with the core of Cam Newton, Luke Kuechly and Greg Olsen locked up long term. But considering this team never has posted consecutive winning seasons, it's hard to quibble with the odds too much. -- David Newton

New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl Odds: 40-1

After two straight 7-9 seasons, the Saints' Super Bowl odds are right where they belong -- in the middle of the pack, tied for 16th. However, I would suggest that the Saints have a higher ceiling than many of the other teams at 40-1 or even 30-1 since they have a former Super Bowl MVP quarterback still playing at an elite level in Drew Brees. They had the NFL's No. 1 offense in yards gained this season. They just need to be able to field a defense that's closer to the top 20 than the bottom two. -- Mike Triplett

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

It appears the Bucs have found a franchise quarterback in Jameis Winston, so that alone gives them a leg up on the Eagles and Rams, two other teams at 50-1. But you can make the case that the Bucs' odds should be worse since they play in the NFC, which means they'll have to go through the Panthers, Cardinals, Packers and Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl. Not an easy task. -- Mike DiRocco

NFC WEST

Arizona Cardinals

Super Bowl Odds: 10-1

The Cardinals were one game away from the Super Bowl 50, and they're not expected to lose any pieces that will make it difficult for them to make another deep run in the playoffs. However, all of Arizona's veterans, especially QB Carson Palmer and WR Larry Fitzgerald, will be a year older next season. Their 10-1 odds show a confidence that what coach Bruce Arians is doing in Arizona can last more than a few seasons. -- Josh Weinfuss

Los Angeles Rams

Super Bowl Odds: 50-1

An argument could be made that the Rams should be closer to 40-1 or 30-1 like the Lions, Bears or Bills since they have been in the same mediocre range as those teams. But all of the teams ahead of the Rams have a better quarterback situation and play in a division more conducive to getting the playoffs. NFC West division rivals Seattle and Arizona come in with some of the best odds in the NFL, which makes the Rams' climb to Super Bowl contention all the more difficult. -- Nick Wagoner

San Francisco 49ers

Super Bowl Odds: 60-1

Look, the Niners are in full rebuild mode with a mad scientist at the helm in new coach Chip Kelly. Only one team has worse odds, the 200-1 Cleveland Browns. I know, I know, the Faithful will counter that Kelly took a four-win Eagles team to a 10-6 season and division title in his first season in Philadelphia. But that roster was loaded. The Niners' roster? Not so much. -- Paul Gutierrez

Seattle Seahawks

Super Bowl Odds: 8-1

It makes sense that the Seahawks are tied for the best odds in the league. Russell Wilson is only 27 years old and coming off the best season of his career. The Seahawks return the core of their defense, a unit that led the NFL in fewest points allowed for the fourth consecutive year. They need to get some things figured out with 17 unrestricted free agents and along the offensive line, but Pete Carroll's group is in position to compete for a championship next season. -- Sheil Kapadia