Using the projections of Hockey Prospectus, Insider examines some key players set to explode in 2012-13 and those set to regress. Plus ESPN's Craig Custance provides a name to know as training camp draws ever closer. Starting Aug. 13, we will examine a different team every weekday.
Who's on the rise? Whose game is slipping? Who's your team's next young gun? We've got it all right here.
Note: A mainstay of Hockey Prospectus' metrics is "Goals Versus Threshold" (GVT). The stat blends an array of offensive and defensive figures to measure the value -- in terms of goals -- a player contributes above what a marginal player would over the course of the season. A marginal player is one who could be replaced with a player of equivalent skill, e.g., from the minors.
VUKOTA: Keeping readers one step ahead of the competition, Hockey Prospectus has developed a tool called VUKOTA.
Following in the tradition of PECOTA and KUBIAK, VUKOTA is Hockey Prospectus' player projection system. Using a combination of fundamental and advanced statistics, VUKOTA compares current NHL players to comparable players throughout history to best project their next season's performance in goals, assists and points, as well as GVT.