NASCAR expert picks: Homestead
Homestead isn't just the homestretch. It's the track that stands between two drivers and Sprint Cup glory. Who will be the 2011 champ? Our NASCAR personalities make their final picks of the season.
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I think Tony Stewart is going to win this race. Carl Edwards has been fantastic, and a lot of people will look at me like I'm crazy when I say he's not going to win because he's won two of the last three there and has a 5.7 average finish at Homestead, but I believe a lot in momentum. And I believe in being able to secure victories. Stewart has been the one who has proved he can do that in the Chase, even though Edwards has been right there all along.
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I'm taking Carl Edwards because he has been so calculated each step of the way and has proved that he has the ability to manage bad days. He's a student of the sport, and he understood what he was up against this year. Don't underestimate that he's going to arguably his favorite track too. It's a tremendous advantage to go to a track that you like and have had success at. I think winning nine races in 2008 and not winning the title really sticks in Edwards' side, and he'll remedy that on Sunday.
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Carl Edwards will win the championship this weekend. Overall, he has been the most consistent driver all year. When it comes to Homestead, he has the advantage over Tony Stewart in wins (2), laps led (441) and average finish (5.7). Knowing how strong Edwards is at that track, how mentally tough he is and how competitive he is, I wouldn't be surprised if he won the race on Sunday en route to his first Sprint Cup Series championship.
| ANALYST | CHAMPIONSHIP PREDICTION |
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It's almost too close to call, but if I had to throw money on the table, I'd take Carl Edwards. I think you have to look at each driver's history at Homestead and Edwards has done better at the track that's there today. Stewart ran well at Homestead before they reconfigured it, but they added some banking to the turns and I think Edwards has the edge there now. Stewart has won two championships and it'd be nice to see him win three, but Edwards taking home his first title is a little bit more exciting.
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I feel ridiculous trying to make a pick because these are two great drivers and it's going to go right down to the wire. Stewart has an incredible amount of momentum on his side but, numbers-wise, this is Carl Edwards' track. It's Ford Championship weekend down there so Edwards has external and internal pressure to do well and he really performs well under pressure. I've had conversations with him this week, and I know he's focused. But I do think Tony Stewart will ride on his bumper, I really do.
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