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We've been rather happy with the performance of the Soccer Power Index thus far; it predicted, for instance, the ascendency of the South American teams that we saw in the group stages, as well as the fact that both France and Italy were vulnerable.

Now that we're in the knockout stages, the football should speak for itself, and I don't think anybody should be particularly concerned about what a computer program says. With that said, here is how SPI views the probability of each team ...

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