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For Verrazano, a big if

Updated: March 13, 2013, 11:29 AM ET
By Bill Finley | Special to ESPN.com

The Tampa Bay Derby was more of the same for the sensational colt Verrazano. He dominates his competition and he's clearly the fastest 3-year-old out there, and that's why he's No. 1 on my ESPN.com Derby poll. On the surface, Verrazano should win the Kentucky Derby, maybe even win it easily.

If only it were that simple.

History tells us that with horses who run that big that early the vast majority of time they are really hurt by the big effort even if they don't ...

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