Searching for wheat in Derby field

Updated: April 29, 2013, 3:25 PM ET
By Paul Moran | Special to ESPN.com

No matter how you turn the page, none of those generally regarded as the principal threats to win the 139th Kentucky Derby comes into focus. Typical. But less than a week remains before this decision must be made. Get to work.

First, it is necessary to consider that this is Todd Pletcher's world and we're merely here to watch him train horses. The statistical probability of having six Derby starters -- including the likely undefeated betting favorite and two of the principal contenders ...

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