How many more majors for Rafa?
AP Photo/Anja NiedringhausBattered, but not beaten: Can Rafael Nadal continue winning Slams despite his physical style?
As he held the golden Wimbledon trophy aloft, it was difficult not to notice the frayed, bruised bands of athletic tape wrapped around four fingers on his left hand. That stark juxtaposition of risk and gleaming reward neatly frames the career of Rafael Nadal.
For without the white tape, the unprecedented torque of his magnificent forehand would tear his hand -- not his opponents -- apart. As it is, Nadal's physically demanding game places enormous stress on various joints, especially his knees. At 24, he became the second-youngest man to collect his eighth Grand Slam singles title, but the occasion begs the question: How much longer will Rafa be a viable threat, especially with this violent style of play?
At least a few more months, if his admirers are to be believed. Fewer than 30 minutes after Nadal locked down the rare French Open-Wimbledon double, U.S. Davis Cup captain Patrick McEnroe predicted a triple crown -- meaning, a first-ever win for Rafa at the U.S. Open.
A day later, Patrick's brother John -- a seven-time Grand Slam singles champion -- seconded the notion.
Nadal's matches played
| Year | Matches |
|---|---|
| 2005 | 89 |
| 2006 | 71 |
| 2007 | 85 |
| 2008 | 93 |
| 2009 | 80 |
| 2010 | 80* |
| *Projected total |
"Nadal wants to win the U.S. Open so badly," said McEnroe, a fixture on the ATP Champions Tour. "It'd be hard not to pick him at this time, even though he's never won it. The conditions in New York don't suit Nadal so well and he needs to make his body hold up. So I think after Wimbledon he is going to take some time off and get his knees recovered and then maybe not play too many matches before the Open."
The bandwagon effect will be in play this summer as the North American hard-court season concludes at the National Tennis Center. Rafa-mania will reign as Nadal looks to complete his career Grand Slam, but beware of the continuing phenomenon that is Rafatigue.
At Wimbledon, Nadal revealed that he tweaked his left knee in Miami playing against Andy Roddick in the semifinals of the Sony Ericsson Open and skipped Barcelona so he could rehab it. At Wimbledon, his right knee created some issues and Nadal admitted, "I am a little bit scared about the knee."
The U.S. Open, oddly, is the only major Nadal has played every year going back to 2003; he has missed each of the others twice. And although his trajectory in New York closely mirrors his consistent ascent in the Australian Open -- where he broke through in 2009 as champion -- the U.S. Open, with its swift courts, remains his most elusive Slam.
Nadal lost in the semifinals the past two years (to Andy Murray in 2008 and Juan Martin del Potro in '09) and he has always looked a little weary -- understandably -- when he reaches the second week in New York. In 2008 -- the first time he accomplished the Euro Slam double -- he also played six matches at the Beijing Olympics, winning gold.
This year, he's scheduled to play only the two ATP World Tour Masters 1000 events, in Toronto and Cincinnati. Based on his numbers from recent years (an average of 28 post-Wimbledon matches from 2005-09), Nadal will finish with about 80 matches. That's the same number as last year, when he missed more than two months with injured knees -- and far fewer than the ATP-high of 93 he posted in 2008.
Even with defending champion Del Potro expected to miss the U.S. Open and Roger Federer coming off two exits in majors quarterfinals, Nadal will be pressed in attempting the unusual triple. The last man to win three straight majors in the same year? Rod Laver, in 1969, when he won all four.
It says here Laver's triple play will go unmatched.
Contest winner
The lucky number in the ESPN.com Wimbledon contest was 44.
That was the total number of victories by former Grand Slam champions at the All England Club -- and Chris Casey of East Greenbush, N.Y., nailed it on the head.
Chris learned the game on a public court, starting at the age of 12, and his favorite player ever was Tim Henman. Today, he roots for Andy Roddick and Mardy Fish; Chris had Roddick winning and Rafael Nadal getting bounced in the fourth round, but the bottom line is the only number that matters. He'll receive a coveted changeover towel for his prescience.
Congratulations also to Joel Ayotte from Winnipeg, Manitoba, whose guess was a near-miss 43.
While the average number from our readers was an overly optimistic 56, the draws conspired to keep the total down. There were no fewer than three championship matchups in the fourth round alone: Maria Sharapova-Serena Williams, Novak Djokovic-Lleyton Hewitt, Kim Clijsters-Justine Henin.
In the end, champions Serena Williams and Rafael Nadal (14 combined wins) did their job, but Andy Roddick and Venus Williams didn't go as far as expected. Three former champs couldn't get even a single win: Juan Carlos Ferrero, Ana Ivanovic and newly minted French Open winner Francesca Schiavone.
Finishing touch
Winning in Grand Slam finals
| Player | Win pct. |
|---|---|
| Margaret Court | .917 (11-1) |
| SERENA WILLIAMS | .813 (13-3) |
| Steffi Graf | .709 (22-9) |
| Monica Seles | .692 (9-4) |
| Billie Jean King | .667 (8-4) |
| JUSTINE HENIN | .583 (7-5) |
| Martina Navratilova | .563 (18-14) |
| Chris Evert | .530 (18-16) |
| VENUS WILLIAMS | .500 (7-7) |
Amazing, but true: Serena and Venus Williams both have won 199 career Grand Slam singles matches.
Serena, 15 months younger at 28, caught Venus by winning seven matches at Wimbledon, three more than Venus. Serena won her 13th major -- and has only lost three Grand Slam singles finals. The accompanying chart, from the Sony Ericsson WTA Tour's Kevin Fischer, underscores how impressive that percentage is. (Note: The list features only players with more than five titles who competed in the Open era. Active players are listed in all caps.)
Greg Garber is a senior writer for ESPN.com.
On The Move
HOT
1. Vera Zvonareva: Up 12 spots, to No. 9, after reaching the Wimbledon final.
2. Tomas Berdych: Rose five spots, to a career-high No. 8, after defeating Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic.
3. Tzvetana Pironkova: The 22-year-old Bulgarian is now No. 35 (plus-47) after advancing to the semifinals.
4. Yen-Hsun Lu: Knocked off Andy Roddick on the way to quarterfinals -- up 40 spots, to No. 42.
5. Daniel Brands: The young German was 2-8 in 2010 but reached Wimbledon's fourth round. Up 32 spots, to No. 66.
6. Petra Kvitova: Zoomed from No. 62 to No. 29 after taking down Victoria Azarenka and Caroline Wozniacki and reaching the semifinals.
7. Mardy Fish: Won at Newport to rise 30 spots, to No. 49.
NOT
1. Sabine Lisicki: Reached the quarters at Wimbledon a year ago, but has missed four months because of a left ankle injury. Down 39 spots, to No. 79.
2. Dudi Sela: Made the fourth round a year ago, but was bounced in the first round, dropping 30 spots, to No. 95.
3. Dinara Safina: A chronic back injury forced the former No. 1 to pass on Wimbledon; ranking down to a stunning No. 33.
4. Elena Vesnina: Fourth round a year ago, one-and-out this year ... down 17 spots, to No. 58.
5. Ivo Karlovic: After career-best Wimbledon quarterfinal a year ago, 6-foot-10 Croatian falls 16 spots, to No. 49, after pulling out because of a foot injury.
Etcetera
• Happy 35th birthday, World Team Tennis. The season began with fireworks; three of the four matches on the schedule last week finished with a Supertiebreaker. Lindsay Davenport, Michael Chang and Martina Hingis were all in action. Later this summer, Venus Williams, Andy Roddick, Maria Sharapova, John McEnroe, Kim Clijsters, John Isner and the Bryan Brothers -- among others -- will take to the WTT courts. "The reason we started it was we wanted tennis to be a team sport, a co-ed team sport, and wanted something that would last two-and-a-half to three hours," said co-founder Billie Jean King. "Also, more importantly, to have equality, that there be equal contribution by both genders on a level playing field. We thought it was very important for young people to see cooperation among the best players in the world, that everybody may have a chance to play for their home team some year. I think it's going for 35 years because people like it."
• Roger Federer already appears to be preparing for life after tennis. He has offered, according to reports, to buy the ATP tournament in his hometown of Basel, Switzerland. Tournament director Roger Brennwald does not seem disposed to sell imminently, but Federer has great attachment to the event. He was a ballboy there, and his first professional match -- a loss to Andre Agassi -- came in Basel. He also won three straight titles there, from 2006-08.
• Kudos to Sloan Stephens, who has had a nice summer -- and it's still early. The 17-year-old from Fort Lauderdale, Fla., won the French Open doubles title with Timea Babos of Hungary, then reached the quarterfinals of the Wimbledon girls tournament. Stephens, granted a wild card into the Bastad, Sweden, event, won her first-round match over Italy's Alberta Brianti.
• Meanwhile, Sergei Bubka -- the son of the great Russian pole vaulter with the same name (spelled Sergey) -- won his first ATP-level match in Newport over Chris Guccione after qualifying. The father won Olympic gold and set the world-record mark on 35 occasions. The son, 23, lost in the second round to Olivier Rochus.
• Only four women have reached the Sweet 16 or better at the three majors already held. That would be Serena and Venus Williams, Justine Henin and Caroline Wozniacki. Serena has done it for the last nine Grand Slam events.
• The 2010 U.S. Open prize money will exceed $22.6 million, an increase of $1 million over last year's record purse, and the richest in tennis history. In addition to the base purse of $22.6 million, the top three men's and top three women's finishers in the Olympus U.S. Open Series may earn up to an additional $2.6 million in bonus prize money at the U.S. Open, providing a potential total payout of $25.2 million.

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