Fantasy Sports w/Keith Lipscomb
Send your questions now and join Lipscomb in The Show on Thursday at 3 p.m. ET!
Keith Lipscomb (3:01 PM)
Good afternoon from Bristol. Hope you're all ready for some fantasy today. Let's get to your questions...
What are your thoughts on Conor Jackson this season? Is he a viable starter at 1B? .280/20/85 too optimistic?
Keith Lipscomb (3:04 PM)
I like Jackson and am waiting for him to step his numbers up. This could be the year. As far as the numbers you presented, I think they are attainable. The average should be expected, the homers wouldn't be a huge jump for him, although I wouldn't expect more than 20. His contact rate and batting in a solid spot in the lineup can only help his fantasy value.
Rex - FLA
NBA: at SF who should I pick up?? Ronnie Brewer, Jamario Moon, Al Thornton?
Keith Lipscomb (3:06 PM)
It depends on what you need, Rex. Thornton, despite his four blocks last night, isn't going to do much for you other than score and rebound occasionally. He's the sexiest option because of the scoring. But if you only need improvement in shooting percentages and steals, Brewer and Moon are better choices.
can we expect stephen drew to be a .300 guy this year?
Keith Lipscomb (3:09 PM)
I would be very surprised if he made that kind of improvement after last year's disappointing .238, but I do like Drew this season. I can see him batting as high as .280 if it all comes together like I think it will in the next couple of years. Even if he doesn't break out, I think he hits at least .260, which is much easier to tolerate.
Alex (SLC, UT)
Better year this year... Javier Vasquez or James Shields. Also does Shields get 200 K's this year?
Keith Lipscomb (3:12 PM)
I have them in the same tier on my draft board, so I'd be happy to get either one. I don't expect Vazquez or Shields to get 200 Ks this season, but closer to 180-185. Making me pick today, I'll go with Shields as he continues to improve, but I'm happy either way.
Hey Keith - has anything you've seen in Spring Training thus far altered your projections?
Keith Lipscomb (3:15 PM)
Jack, I personally don't allow spring performance to affect my thinking too much. The one thing that happens in spring that does cause me to reevaluate things is once starting jobs are won and it's more clear where players will hit in the lineup. So, right now it's a bit early for me to get excited or down on anyone yet. Conor Jackson in the No. 3 hole was something I was happy to hear about, though.
Hi Keith. Are there NL and AL auction values anywhere in the draft kit? I can't seem to find this important data(to me at least!).
Keith Lipscomb (3:17 PM)
Mike, good question. They are not in the draft kit, yet but will be in the near future, I am told.
Patrick (Seattle, WA)
Sifting through the dregs... which would you rather draft, Scott Baker or Kevin Slowey? They look exactly the same to me.
Keith Lipscomb (3:20 PM)
There are some similarities there, so I can see why. I think Baker's major league experience works to his advantage as far as having more success this season. Slowey allowed multiple homers in 6 of his 13 appearances last season, but that's not something I expect to repeat itself. He'll get better. I'd take Baker right now. He's the more finished product, in my opinion.
Can you tell us what you think of Felix Hernandez's stats for '08? Should I trade Aaron Harang for him?
Keith Lipscomb (3:24 PM)
I really think this is the year King Felix puts up the numbers that many have waited for. I think he gets the ERA down in the 3.50 range and builds on his strong finish last season. That being said, I'm not sure Harang will do any worse. Harang is very solid, so I'm not sure there will be much difference between the two, even if Felix breaks out.
What about Conley Jr? Should I get rid of him because Lowry is stealing minutes?
Keith Lipscomb (3:25 PM)
It's quite evident that the team isn't 100% committed to just GIVING Conley the job isn't it? If there's a better player on the wire in your league, I do recommend ditching Conley, especially because his best category is assists and he's not even helping you much there right now. He's not a huge help in any other category that would make you want to keep him.
Keith, who are some closers you're targeting in rounds 12-18? I originally liked Soriano and Lidge, but they're both battling injuries. Thanks!
Keith Lipscomb (3:28 PM)
If you're talking about a 10-team mixed league, we did a mock here in the office in which closers went later than they do in many of my other drafts I've been involved in over the years. Guys like Wagner, Capps, Street and Jenks were still around when we drafted. So even if they are all gone in your draft at that point, guys like Corpas, Isringhausen and Soria should still be there for you to take.
I have a chance to win my dyansty league and need to choose between Bruce and Hamilton. If I wasn't trying to win it this year, Bruce would be my pick...always go for it now, not the future? Take Hamilton?
Keith Lipscomb (3:30 PM)
Yeah, it's easy for me if you want to win now. The CF picture in Cincy didn't get any clearer when the Reds brought Corey Patterson into camp, either. And besides, I like Hamilton hitting in that ballpark, which is nice for a left-handed stick.
I'm going to be a top 10 OF this year. Watch out.
Keith Lipscomb (3:31 PM)
While I obviously don't expect that kind of season out of Milledge, I must go back to the earlier question of players that have changed my thoughts about them. Rarely does it happen so early, but he really has looked good early on and maybe he just needed the change of scenery and a legit shot to play everyday.
What do you think about punting saves?
Keith Lipscomb (3:34 PM)
Bob, I never punt a category, because I subscribe to the theory of trying to finish at least middle of the pack in every category and hope to win 3-4 of them. If you're going to punt a category in pitching, though, that's the one I'd punt, because you can load up on strong middle relievers to help your WHIP, Ks and ERA and hopefully pick up a few wins along the way. I don't recommend it, though.
Matt ( Canada )
whats the earliest spot to take ryan braun he carried my team last year
Keith Lipscomb (3:35 PM)
The earliest I've seen him go in any draft I've participated in so far was 7th, and I've seen him go as late as 13th or 14th, I believe.
Good deal? I traded Blanton and Melky and got Rios in a keeper league.
Keith Lipscomb (3:37 PM)
In a word, yes. I'm not a huge Melky guy and Blanton is someone that can be replaced. You got the star power there. Rios should have a great season and still has his best years ahead of him.
Relating to your earlier post re: Connor Jackson, would you drop Carlos Delgado to pick him up? (Other available 1B include Billy Butler, Nick Johnson and Jason Giambi). I am worried about the injury issues. Thanks.
Keith Lipscomb (3:39 PM)
Anthony, I'm also concerned about Delgado and think last year's decline wasn't an aberration. Even if Delgado stays healthy and does what he did last season -- 24 HR, 87 RBI -- I think Jackson could approach that RBI total if I'm right about him, and will definitely hit for a higher average. If you like peace of mind, I'd get Jackson instead of Delgado.
Hey Keith need a little help. In a 12 team H2H 5x5 league. I give Sizemore, Webb, and 8th round pick for Peavy, Dice-K, and 6th round pick. We keep 5 guys and I am already keeping Wright, Utley, Fielder, and Braun. Should I take this trade to get Peavy and also have 3 picks in the top 13, or just keep Sizemore and draft pitching with the 12 and 13th picks?
Keith Lipscomb (3:41 PM)
Sounds like a good problem to have, Scott. Getting that extra pick in the first 13 sure would be nice, considering that you'd have a staff ace to build around and you could possibly draft a well-rounded OF with your first pick to "make up" for the loss of Sizemore.
Is Markakis worth a 3rd round pick? Tulowitzki a 5th?
Keith Lipscomb (3:43 PM)
In our mock we ran in the office a couple weeks ago, Markakis went in the 4th and Tulo the 5th, so you could agrue that Markakis could go in the late 3rd round. I like him as more of a 4th-rounder, though.
Hey Keith, do you think Matt Carroll will still be worth owning (10 team league) when Gerald comes back?...if Wade gets shut down, who would rather have Banks or Carroll?
Keith Lipscomb (3:47 PM)
I don't think Carroll maintains his value when Wallace returns, because Carroll's already doing things I didn't think he could do (boards, steals). Wallace will take some of his playing time and Carroll will return to being a spark plug and solid 3-point shooter. So in a 10-team league, I'd say he wouldn't be worth owning for the most part. I haven't heard anything lately about Wade being shut down, so I'm not going to worry about Banks until I hear it's going to happen.
Granerson or Byrnes? who repeats their stats of last year?
Charlie (syracuse, ny)
You're my last hope. I've asked everyone else who does the chat thing. I have Posada and McCann. Should I trade one of them for a SP (where I am weak) and if so, who should I trade and what pitchers should I be able to get?
Keith Lipscomb (3:48 PM)
Jumped the gun there...I'll answer them one at a time...
Keith Lipscomb (3:51 PM)
I don't expect either Granderson or Byrnes to repeat their numbers overall. I see Byrnes' SBs coming back down toward 30, although the other numbers should stay close to the same. Granderson had a monster season and I'm not sure he's a .300 hitter again, but he could certainly got 20-20 again no problem. So, I think Granderson's BA drops and so do Byrnes' SBs.
Keith Lipscomb (3:53 PM)
As for you, Charlie, I think it's a nice luxury to have two strong catchers like you do, and because of that you should be able to land some pitching help. However, telling you the type of pitcher you could get for either catcher is different in every league you're in. Like anything else, you need a partner to pull off a deal, but throw their names out there and see what kind of offers you get back. If nothing grabs you, then you've got two strong catchers and you can try to get some value pitchers in the draft.
Seriously Keith, Which 2 should be kept from braun, soriano, fielder, howard?
Keith Lipscomb (3:56 PM)
Seriously? Wow. This is a tough one, Sean. Well, I think Fielder is 4th on the list, personally. I like Howard more, and since we're talking keepers here, I think I'd go Braun/Howard.
Keith, would you trade King Felix for Izzy and Dave Bush? Only RP you have is Bj Ryan.
Keith Lipscomb (3:59 PM)
I usually like to GET the best player in a deal, not trade him. And I know you're in a spot with saves right now, but saves always present themselves on the waiver wire during the season, so I'd hold off on this trade and things will work out for you in your quest for saves down the line.
Jeff (Little Rock)
Would you pick Johan ahead of Braun or Howard in an NL only league?
Keith Lipscomb (4:02 PM)
They are all right next to each other in my rankings, and I don't always go by my rankings during drafts...I prefer to put players in "tiers", because every draft plays out differently. I've been in a couple NL-only drafts and in both of them Johan went just before the other two. I would probably take the hitters, though, and hope to get a Peavy and the way back. This is because, if you're asking this question, you're likely picking in the 5-9 area and you could pull this off.
Keith Lipscomb (4:03 PM)
OK, last one...
Mike (Los Angeles)
Keith, I've made some mistakes in a draft so far! Who are some good late round options to improve batting average?
Keith Lipscomb (4:06 PM)
It happens to the best of us, Mike. Keep your head up! I'm not sure how deep your league is, but if you're in a deep mixed league, a possible sleeper that could bring you average would be someone like Jeff Keppinger. He could be a poor man's Placido Polanco, especially with Alex Gonzalez out of action.
Keith Lipscomb (4:06 PM)
Have a great weekend everyone and we'll see you at the same time next week!